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La Liga · Round 18 · Sun 03 Jan, 00:00

Rayo Vallecano
vs
Atletico Madrid

Prediction

25%
26%
49%
Rayo Vallecano 25% Draw 26% 49% Atletico Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.02 – 1.65
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 0-1 11% 1-2 10% 0-2 9% 0-0 7%

Rayo Vallecano · last 5 D

Celta Vigo (H) 3-0 W Elche (H) 0-3 L Elche (H) 0-3 L Getafe (A) 1-1 D Getafe (A) 1-1 D

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Bayern Munich (H) 0-2 L Levante (A) 0-2 W Levante (A) 0-2 W Deportivo La Coruna (H) 1-0 W VfB Stuttgart (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

15 Feb 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid 24 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano 24 Apr 2025 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano 22 Sep 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atletico Madrid 31 Jan 2024 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano 28 Aug 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid 09 Apr 2023 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atletico Madrid 18 Oct 2022 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano 19 Mar 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atletico Madrid 02 Jan 2022 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Rayo Vallecano

News

Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win guardian · 03 Nov Barcelona fined £503 over their approach for Atlético Madrid star Álvarez guardian · 27 Oct Grounded: Rayo Vallecano’s paper planes bring club’s crisis into the open guardian · 12 Oct