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La Liga · Round 18 · Sun 03 Jan, 00:00

Rayo Vallecano
vs
Atletico Madrid

Prediction

30%
25%
45%
Rayo Vallecano 30% Draw 25% 45% Atletico Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.24 – 1.59
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 0-1 10% 1-2 9% 1-0 7% 0-2 7%

Rayo Vallecano · last 5 A

Espanyol (H) 2-1 W Espanyol (H) 2-1 W Real Madrid (A) 4-1 L Real Madrid (A) 4-1 L Racing Santander (H) 3-2 W

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Liverpool (A) 2-1 L

Head-to-head

15 Feb 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Atletico Madrid 24 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano 24 Apr 2025 Atletico Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano 22 Sep 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Atletico Madrid 31 Jan 2024 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano 28 Aug 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0–7 Atletico Madrid 09 Apr 2023 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Atletico Madrid 18 Oct 2022 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Rayo Vallecano 19 Mar 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Atletico Madrid 02 Jan 2022 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Rayo Vallecano

News

Chelsea 6-3 Leeds; Liverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid, PSG 6-1 Slovan Bratislava – as it happened guardian · 09 Sep Liverpool come from behind to beat Atletico Madrid bbc · 09 Sep Atlético Madrid chief insists Julián Alvarez will ‘never, ever’ be sold to Barcelona guardian · 27 Aug Atletico Madrid’s Total 90 third kit for 2025/26 released 90min · 03 Sep