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La Liga · Round 38 · Sun 30 May, 00:00

Athletic Bilbao
vs
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction

48%
26%
26%
Athletic Bilbao 48% Draw 26% 26% Rayo Vallecano

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.58 – 1.00
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
51%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 1-0 12% 2-1 9% 2-0 9% 0-0 8%

Athletic Bilbao · last 5 C

Bayern Munich (H) 0-2 L Real Sociedad (H) 2-1 W Getafe (H) 4-0 W Levante (A) 3-1 L VfB Stuttgart (A) 1-1 D

Rayo Vallecano · last 5 D

Celta Vigo (H) 3-0 W Elche (H) 0-3 L Elche (H) 0-3 L Getafe (A) 1-1 D Getafe (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

28 Feb 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Bilbao 25 Aug 2025 Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Rayo Vallecano 13 Apr 2025 Athletic Bilbao 3–1 Rayo Vallecano 01 Dec 2024 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Bilbao 25 May 2024 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Bilbao 02 Dec 2023 Athletic Bilbao 4–0 Rayo Vallecano 05 Mar 2023 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Athletic Bilbao 17 Sep 2022 Athletic Bilbao 3–2 Rayo Vallecano 23 Jan 2022 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Bilbao 21 Sep 2021 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Rayo Vallecano

News

Grounded: Rayo Vallecano’s paper planes bring club’s crisis into the open guardian · 12 Oct