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Serie A · Round 15 · Sat 12 Dec, 00:00

Napoli
vs
AC Milan

Prediction

46%
26%
29%
Napoli 46% Draw 26% 29% AC Milan

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.47 – 1.18
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 1-0 11% 2-1 9% 0-1 8% 2-0 8%

Napoli · last 5 D

Porto (A) 4-1 L Juventus (A) 2-0 L Juventus (A) 2-0 L Monza (A) 1-4 W Monza (A) 1-4 W

AC Milan · last 5 B

Inter Milan (H) 3-1 W Inter Milan (H) 3-1 W Bologna (H) 2-4 L Bologna (H) 2-4 L Udinese (A) 0-2 W

Head-to-head

06 Apr 2026 Napoli 1–0 AC Milan 28 Sep 2025 AC Milan 2–1 Napoli 30 Mar 2025 Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 29 Oct 2024 AC Milan 0–2 Napoli 11 Feb 2024 AC Milan 1–0 Napoli 29 Oct 2023 Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 02 Apr 2023 Napoli 0–4 AC Milan 18 Sep 2022 AC Milan 1–2 Napoli 06 Mar 2022 Napoli 0–1 AC Milan 19 Dec 2021 AC Milan 0–1 Napoli

News

Emphatic Porto thrash Napoli in second-half romp bbc · 04 Nov AC Milan score three first-half goals to seal derby victory over Inter bbc · 31 Oct 'We fell behind' - what does new San Siro deal mean for AC Milan and Inter? bbc · 31 Oct AC Milan v Inter and the tale of an iconic image bbc · 31 Oct McTominay stars in Napoli draw that leaves Allegri ‘not lucid enough’ to talk guardian · 26 Oct Houdini act in Venice leaves Massimiliano Allegri searching for an escape at Napoli | Nicky Bandini guardian · 19 Oct