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Serie A · Round 18 · Tue 05 Jan, 00:00

AC Milan
vs
Fiorentina

Prediction

55%
23%
22%
AC Milan 55% Draw 23% 22% Fiorentina

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.87 – 1.16
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 10% 1-0 9% 2-0 8% 3-1 6%

AC Milan · last 5 B

Inter Milan (H) 3-1 W Inter Milan (H) 3-1 W Bologna (H) 2-4 L Bologna (H) 2-4 L Udinese (A) 0-2 W

Fiorentina · last 5 A

Sassuolo (A) 2-4 W Sassuolo (A) 2-4 W Atalanta (H) 2-2 D Inter Milan (A) 2-1 L Inter Milan (A) 2-1 L

Head-to-head

11 Jan 2026 Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan 19 Oct 2025 AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina 05 Apr 2025 AC Milan 2–2 Fiorentina 06 Oct 2024 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 30 Mar 2024 Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 25 Nov 2023 AC Milan 1–0 Fiorentina 04 Mar 2023 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 13 Nov 2022 AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina 01 May 2022 AC Milan 1–0 Fiorentina 20 Nov 2021 Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan

News

AC Milan score three first-half goals to seal derby victory over Inter bbc · 31 Oct 'We fell behind' - what does new San Siro deal mean for AC Milan and Inter? bbc · 31 Oct AC Milan v Inter and the tale of an iconic image bbc · 31 Oct