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Ligue 1 · Round 16 · Fri 15 Jan, 23:00

Marseille
vs
Lille

Prediction

41%
28%
32%
Marseille 41% Draw 28% 32% Lille

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.36 – 1.19
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 1-0 10% 0-0 9% 2-1 9% 0-1 8%

Marseille · last 5 A

Toulouse (H) 2-0 W Toulouse (H) 2-0 W Le Havre (H) 4-3 W Le Havre (H) 4-3 W Sturm Graz (A) 1-0 L

Lille · last 5 C

Bodo/Glimt (A) 0-0 D Lens (H) 1-0 W Lens (H) 1-0 W Monaco (A) 1-1 D Monaco (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

22 Mar 2026 Marseille 1–2 Lille 05 Dec 2025 Lille 1–0 Marseille 04 May 2025 Lille 1–1 Marseille 14 Dec 2024 Marseille 1–1 Lille 05 Apr 2024 Lille 3–1 Marseille 04 Nov 2023 Marseille 0–0 Lille 20 May 2023 Lille 2–1 Marseille 10 Sep 2022 Marseille 2–1 Lille 16 Jan 2022 Marseille 1–1 Lille 03 Oct 2021 Lille 2–0 Marseille

News

Bodo/Glimt and Lille take a point apiece in goalless draw bbc · 04 Nov Davide Ancelotti wants to make a name for himself – will he do it at Lille? guardian · 26 Oct