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Ligue 1 · Round 17 · Fri 22 Jan, 23:00

Toulouse
vs
Nice

Prediction

51%
26%
22%
Toulouse 51% Draw 26% 22% Nice

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.56 – 0.98
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
50%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-0 11% 2-0 10% 2-1 9% 0-0 9%

Toulouse · last 5

Lorient (A) 2-2 D Lille (H) 0-1 L Brest (A) 2-2 D Lyon (H) 0-2 L Nantes (A) 0-0 D

Nice · last 5

Auxerre (A) 1-0 L Le Mans (H) 1-1 D Paris FC (A) 3-0 L Lorient (H) 0-0 D Metz (H) 0-0 D

Head-to-head

17 Jan 2026 Toulouse 5–1 Nice 16 Aug 2025 Nice 0–1 Toulouse 02 Feb 2025 Toulouse 1–1 Nice 25 Aug 2024 Nice 1–1 Toulouse 03 Mar 2024 Toulouse 2–1 Nice 26 Nov 2023 Nice 1–0 Toulouse 21 May 2023 Nice 0–0 Toulouse 07 Aug 2022 Toulouse 1–1 Nice 15 Feb 2020 Toulouse 0–2 Nice 21 Dec 2019 Nice 3–0 Toulouse

News

Does derby semi add 'more spice' or simply 'nice for fans'? bbc · 14 Sep Nice fans direct fury at owners as club falls into Ligue 1 relegation playoff guardian · 18 May Famous OGC Nice eagle mascot and trainer blasted by sprinkler 90min · 29 Sep