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Ligue 1 · Round 23 · Fri 05 Mar, 23:00

Lille
vs
Marseille

Prediction

47%
27%
26%
Lille 47% Draw 27% 26% Marseille

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.54 – 1.11
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
54%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-0 10% 2-1 9% 2-0 8% 0-0 8%

Lille · last 5 D

Troyes (H) 2-0 W Real Betis (H) 2-3 L Toulouse (A) 0-1 W Paris Saint Germain (H) 2-2 D Angers (A) 0-2 W

Marseille · last 5

Rennes (A) 1-0 L Paris FC (H) 2-3 L Monaco (A) 2-0 L Strasbourg (H) 4-0 W Rennes (H) 3-1 W

Head-to-head

22 Mar 2026 Marseille 1–2 Lille 05 Dec 2025 Lille 1–0 Marseille 04 May 2025 Lille 1–1 Marseille 14 Dec 2024 Marseille 1–1 Lille 05 Apr 2024 Lille 3–1 Marseille 04 Nov 2023 Marseille 0–0 Lille 20 May 2023 Lille 2–1 Marseille 10 Sep 2022 Marseille 2–1 Lille 16 Jan 2022 Marseille 1–1 Lille 03 Oct 2021 Lille 2–0 Marseille

News

Betis twice come from behind to seal dramatic win over Lille bbc · 09 Sep Marseille’s squad is being gutted but their manager is staying – for now guardian · 31 Aug