Brest vs Le Mans · Xpected

Ligue 1 · Round 28 · Fri 16 Apr, 22:00

Brest

Le Mans

Prediction

55%

23%

21%

Brest 55% Draw 23% 21% Le Mans

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.26

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams to score

62%

Model confidence

low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 2-1 10% 2-0 8% 1-0 7% 1-2 6%

Brest · last 5

Paris Saint Germain (H) 0-1 L Le Havre (A) 1-2 W Toulouse (H) 2-2 D Le Mans (A) 2-2 D Angers (H) 1-1 D

Le Mans · last 5

Lens (H) 2-2 D Nice (A) 1-1 D Rennes (A) 3-2 L Brest (H) 2-2 D

Head-to-head

22 Aug 2026 Le Mans 2–2 Brest

News

No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.