Ajax vs Thun · Xpected

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round 4 · Thu 26 Nov, 17:45

Ajax

T Thun

Prediction

59%

22%

19%

Ajax 59% Draw 22% 19% Thun

ℹPlayer-based sharpening isn't available for this competition yet.

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.05

Over 2.5 goals

58%

Both teams to score

56%

Model confidence

low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 10% 2-0 9% 1-0 9% 3-1 6%

Ajax · last 5 C

AZ Alkmaar (H) 1-0 W Sparta Rotterdam (A) 1-2 W Atalanta (H) 2-0 W Groningen (A) 2-5 W HNK Hajduk Split (A) 2-1 L

Thun · last 5

HNK Hajduk Split (H) 0-1 L Twente (A) 1-0 L

Head-to-head

These teams haven't met in our data.

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