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Bundesliga · Round 11 · Sat 28 Nov, 14:30

Hamburg
vs
Bayern Munich

Prediction

13%
79%
Hamburg 9% Draw 13% 79% Bayern Munich

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
0.99 – 3.12
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Both teams to score
60%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

0-3 8% 1-3 8% 0-2 8% 1-2 8% 0-4 6%

Hamburg · last 5 D

Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 3-1 L Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 3-1 L Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 3-1 L Paderborn (A) 1-0 L VfB Stuttgart (H) 1-0 W

Bayern Munich · last 5 C

Athletic Bilbao (A) 0-2 W Atletico Madrid (A) 0-2 W Borussia Dortmund (H) 2-2 D Freiburg (A) 1-3 W Arsenal (H) 2-2 D

Head-to-head

31 Jan 2026 Hamburg 2–2 Bayern Munich 13 Sep 2025 Bayern Munich 5–0 Hamburg

News

Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win guardian · 03 Nov Harry Kane’s Ballon d’Or party gives way to anxiety-filled hangover for Bayern Munich | Andy Brassell guardian · 02 Nov Vincent Kompany to miss ‘weeks, not days’ with virus treatment, say Bayern Munich guardian · 24 Oct