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Bundesliga · Round 15 · Sat 09 Jan, 14:30

Borussia Dortmund
vs
Mainz

Prediction

64%
21%
15%
Borussia Dortmund 64% Draw 21% 15% Mainz

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.06 – 0.93
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-0 11% 1-1 10% 2-1 10% 1-0 10% 3-0 7%

Borussia Dortmund · last 5

Paderborn (H) 3-0 W Villarreal (H) 3-2 W TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (A) 2-3 W Hamburg (H) 2-0 W Werder Bremen (A) 0-2 W

Mainz · last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt (H) 1-3 L Hamburg (A) 0-5 W Paderborn (H) 0-0 D Heidenheim (A) 0-2 W Union Berlin (H) 1-3 L

Head-to-head

13 Feb 2026 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Mainz 27 Sep 2025 Mainz 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 30 Mar 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz 09 Nov 2024 Mainz 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 11 May 2024 Mainz 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 19 Dec 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Mainz 27 May 2023 Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Mainz 25 Jan 2023 Mainz 1–2 Borussia Dortmund 16 Mar 2022 Mainz 0–1 Borussia Dortmund 16 Oct 2021 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Mainz

News

Borussia Dortmund to 'address' away kit controversy after fan revolt 90min · 19 Sep Borussia Dortmund debut striking neon 2025/26 away kit 90min · 16 Sep