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Bundesliga · Round 17 · Sat 16 Jan, 14:30

Borussia Dortmund
vs
Freiburg

Prediction

62%
22%
17%
Borussia Dortmund 62% Draw 22% 17% Freiburg

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.16 – 1.04
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-1 10% 1-1 10% 2-0 10% 1-0 8% 3-1 7%

Borussia Dortmund · last 5

Paderborn (H) 3-0 W Villarreal (H) 3-2 W TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (A) 2-3 W Hamburg (H) 2-0 W Werder Bremen (A) 0-2 W

Freiburg · last 5

Borussia Monchengladbach (H) 5-0 W Paderborn (A) 0-1 W Werder Bremen (H) 4-1 W RB Leipzig (H) 4-1 W Hamburg (A) 3-2 L

Head-to-head

26 Apr 2026 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg 14 Dec 2025 Freiburg 1–1 Borussia Dortmund 05 Apr 2025 Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund 23 Nov 2024 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg 09 Feb 2024 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Freiburg 16 Sep 2023 Freiburg 2–4 Borussia Dortmund 04 Feb 2023 Borussia Dortmund 5–1 Freiburg 12 Aug 2022 Freiburg 1–3 Borussia Dortmund 14 Jan 2022 Borussia Dortmund 5–1 Freiburg 21 Aug 2021 Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Dortmund

News

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout guardian · 12 Sep Borussia Dortmund to 'address' away kit controversy after fan revolt 90min · 19 Sep Borussia Dortmund debut striking neon 2025/26 away kit 90min · 16 Sep