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Premier League · Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 14:00

Pre-match prediction

86%
Manchester City 86% Draw 11% 3% Coventry

Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
2.69 – 0.22
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
18%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

2-0 20% 3-0 18% 1-0 14% 4-0 12% 5-0 6%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Manchester City
86% vs 80%
Draw
11% vs 13%
Coventry
3% vs 7%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Coventry 3-4-2-1
19
Rushworth GK
7.2 1454
2
Pinnock CB
1477
4
Thomas CB
8.5 1455
24
Amenda CB
6.6 1454
3
Dasilva CDM
6.9 1454
5
Rudoni CDM
6.3 1466
6
Grimes CDM
6.7 1455
10
Mason-Clark CDM
6.2 1473
16
Onyeka CAM
6.5 1472
27
van Ewijk CAM
6.9 1454
14
Awoniyi ST
6.2 1469
1
Donnarumma GK
8.9 1666
3
Dias LB
7.9 2039
24
Gvardiol CB
7.2 1732
33
O'Reilly CB
1700
45
Khusanov RB
7.0 1567
5
Anderson CDM
8.3 1522
6
Guéhi CDM
7.3 1617
7
Ndiaye LW
1523
10
Cherki CAM
7.2 1583
42
Semenyo RW
1A 6.9 1602
9
Haaland ST
Goal 8.7 1798
Manchester City 4-2-3-1

Manchester City · Bench

M. Kovačić, E. Fernández, R. Aït-Nouri, Matheus Nunes, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, P. Foden, R. McAidoo, R. Lewis

Coventry · Bench

T. Sakamoto, Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi, E. Simms, L. Tchaouna, J. Latibeaudiere, B. Thomas-Asante, D. Bentley, V. Torp, G. Hamer

Head-to-head

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