Premier League
· Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
86%
Manchester City 86%
Draw 11%
3% Coventry
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
2.69 – 0.22
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
18%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
2-0 20%
3-0 18%
1-0 14%
4-0 12%
5-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Manchester City
86% vs 80%
Draw
11% vs 13%
Coventry
3% vs 7%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
C
Coventry
3-4-2-1
19
Rushworth GK
7.2
1466
2
Pinnock CB
1476
4
Thomas CB
8.5
1461
24
Amenda CB
6.6
1454
3
Dasilva CDM
6.9
1466
5
Rudoni CDM
6.3
1476
6
Grimes CDM
6.7
1457
10
Mason-Clark CDM
6.2
1484
16
Onyeka CAM
6.5
1480
27
van Ewijk CAM
6.9
1453
14
Awoniyi ST
6.2
1470
1
Donnarumma GK
8.9
1664
3
Dias LB
7.9
2038
24
Gvardiol CB
7.2
1717
33
O'Reilly CB
1711
45
Khusanov RB
7.0
1541
5
Anderson CDM
8.3
1518
6
Guéhi CDM
7.3
1636
7
Ndiaye LW
1501
10
Cherki CAM
7.2
1594
42
Semenyo RW
1A
6.9
1625
9
Haaland ST
MC
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
Manchester City · Bench
M. Kovačić, E. Fernández, R. Aït-Nouri, Matheus Nunes, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, P. Foden, R. McAidoo, R. Lewis
Coventry · Bench
T. Sakamoto, Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi, E. Simms, L. Tchaouna, J. Latibeaudiere, B. Thomas-Asante, D. Bentley, V. Torp, G. Hamer
Manchester City · last 5
Coventry · last 5
Head-to-head
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