Premier League
· Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 16:30
Pre-match prediction
35%
28%
37%
Hull 35%
Draw 28%
37% Aston Villa
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
2-1 8%
1-0 8%
1-2 8%
0-0 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Hull
35% vs 24%
Draw
28% vs 26%
Aston Villa
37% vs 50%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1
Suzuki GK
7.9
1480
2
Cash LB
6.3
1599
3
Lindelöf CB
7.9
1462
5
Mings CB
7.5
1548
22
Maatsen RB
7.2
1479
6
Barkley CDM
6.9
1483
7
McGinn CDM
6.3
1561
8
Kamara LW
7.0
1663
10
Buendía CAM
6.0
1500
53
Hemmings RW
6.3
1470
11
Jackson ST
1640
19
Tzolakis GK
7.2
1529
2
Coyle LWB
6.6
1520
3
Giles CB
7.2
1529
6
Ajayi CB
6.9
1525
15
Egan CB
7.2
1529
32
Mendy RWB
7.0
1520
10
Belloumi LM
7.0
1527
21
Stroud CM
6.5
1521
27
Slater CM
6.9
1529
29
Gourna-Douath RM
6.9
1505
9
McBurnie ST
7.2
1529
H
Hull
5-4-1
Hull · Bench
S. Thomas, D. Phillips, J. Hjertø-Dahl, B. Norton-Cuffy, L. Herrington, M. Targett, C. Mouzakitis, R. Vaz, M. Cho
Aston Villa · Bench
M. Ruggeri, Pau Torres, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Bizot, Alysson Edward
Hull · last 5
Head-to-head
News
Hull City’s rise from Championship strugglers to Premier League fliers
guardian · 17 Sep
How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer
bbc · 17 Sep
Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry
guardian · 16 Sep
Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts
guardian · 16 Sep
Hull remain unbeaten in league after impressive Chelsea draw
bbc · 12 Sep
We got what we deserved - Alonso on draw with Hull
bbc · 12 Sep
Chelsea 2-2 Hull City, Liverpool 0-0 Fulham and more: football clockwatch – as it happened
guardian · 12 Sep
Hull stun Chelsea with Mohamed Belloumi double before João Pedro rescues a point
guardian · 12 Sep