Premier League
· Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 16:30
Pre-match prediction
35%
28%
37%
Hull 35%
Draw 28%
37% Aston Villa
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
2-1 8%
1-0 8%
1-2 8%
0-0 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Hull
35% vs 24%
Draw
28% vs 26%
Aston Villa
37% vs 50%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1
Suzuki GK
7.9
1507
2
Cash LB
6.3
1620
3
Lindelöf CB
7.9
1488
5
Mings CB
7.5
1568
22
Maatsen RB
7.2
1485
6
Barkley CDM
6.9
1488
7
McGinn CDM
6.3
1578
8
Kamara LW
7.0
1689
10
Buendía CAM
6.0
1520
53
Hemmings RW
6.3
1472
11
Jackson ST
1646
19
Tzolakis GK
7.2
1506
2
Coyle LWB
6.6
1497
3
Giles CB
7.2
1513
6
Ajayi CB
6.9
1501
15
Egan CB
7.2
1508
32
Mendy RWB
7.0
1513
10
Belloumi LM
7.0
1507
21
Stroud CM
6.5
1516
27
Slater CM
6.9
1509
29
Gourna-Douath RM
6.9
1504
9
McBurnie ST
7.2
1506
H
Hull
5-4-1
Hull · Bench
S. Thomas, D. Phillips, J. Hjertø-Dahl, B. Norton-Cuffy, L. Herrington, M. Targett, C. Mouzakitis, R. Vaz, M. Cho
Aston Villa · Bench
M. Ruggeri, Pau Torres, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Bizot, Alysson Edward
Hull · last 5
Head-to-head
News
Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa
bbc · 04 Nov
Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check
guardian · 03 Nov
Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology
guardian · 02 Nov
Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls
guardian · 02 Nov
Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live
guardian · 01 Nov
Coventry, Ipswich, Hull - promoted trio enjoy positive starts
bbc · 31 Oct
Enciso's stunning goal earns Ipswich draw at Hull
bbc · 31 Oct