Premier League
· Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
46%
27%
28%
Bournemouth 46%
Draw 27%
28% Brentford
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.28
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
59%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
2-1 9%
1-0 7%
1-2 7%
2-0 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Bournemouth
46% vs 41%
Draw
27% vs 26%
Brentford
28% vs 32%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
B
Brentford
4-3-3
1
Kelleher GK
7.1
1532
2
Hickey LB
6.8
1523
20
Ajer CB
6.6
1495
23
Lewis-Potter CB
5.6
1486
44
Schuster RB
6.0
1515
6
Yarmolyuk CM
1A
6.1
1513
18
Sangaré CM
6.2
1521
27
Janelt CM
6.3
1561
7
Schade LW
9
Thiago ST
6.2
1577
19
Anthony RW
6.1
1531
1
Petrović GK
6.0
1571
3
Truffert LB
7.3
1582
5
Hill CB
6.2
1604
14
Silva CB
6.3
1506
15
Smith RB
6.1
1543
8
Scott CDM
6.4
1583
12
Adams CDM
6.5
1574
16
Tavernier LW
19
Kluivert CAM
37
Rayan RW
6.1
1558
9
Evanilson ST
1A
7.1
1610
B
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
Bournemouth · Bench
L. Cook, J. Soler, D. Brooks, R. Christie, B. Doak, B. Diakité, M. Di Gregorio, A. Tóth, Á. Rodríguez
Brentford · Bench
R. Henry, D. Ouattara, H. Valdimarsson, C. Wilson, Fábio Carvalho, M. Damsgaard, E. Diouf, M. Kayode, Gustavo Gomes
Bournemouth · last 5
Head-to-head
12 Sep 2026
Bournemouth
2–2
Brentford
03 Mar 2026
Bournemouth
0–0
Brentford
27 Dec 2025
Brentford
4–1
Bournemouth
15 Mar 2025
Bournemouth
1–2
Brentford
09 Nov 2024
Brentford
3–2
Bournemouth
11 May 2024
Bournemouth
1–2
Brentford
02 Sep 2023
Brentford
2–2
Bournemouth
14 Jan 2023
Brentford
2–0
Bournemouth
01 Oct 2022
Bournemouth
0–0
Brentford
News
Bournemouth’s decision not to panic after their tough start is paying off
guardian · 04 Nov
Evanilson scores again as Bournemouth beat Leeds
bbc · 31 Oct
Thiago on target as Brentford beat Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
Keith Andrews - post-match interview - Brentford v Nottingham Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
Evanilson profits from costly Trafford blunder as Bournemouth punish Leeds
guardian · 31 Oct
‘I’m not here to be liked’: Glasner defiant as Brentford capitalise on Forest woes
guardian · 31 Oct
Time to invest in Bournemouth? - FPL gameweek nine dilemmas
bbc · 30 Oct
Carabao Cup roundup: Bournemouth thrash Villa, Sunderland salvo stings Bees
guardian · 28 Oct