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Premier League · Round 18 · Wed 30 Dec, 20:00

Aston Villa
vs
Liverpool

Prediction

37%
27%
36%
Aston Villa 37% Draw 27% 36% Liverpool

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.33 – 1.49
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-2 9% 0-1 8% 2-1 8% 0-0 7%

Aston Villa · last 5 B

Barcelona (A) 3-0 L Fulham (H) 1-1 D Fulham (H) 1-1 D Manchester City (H) 2-1 W Viking (H) 3-1 W

Liverpool · last 5 C

Fenerbahce (A) 3-2 L Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 2-0 W Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 2-0 W Villarreal (H) 4-3 W

Head-to-head

15 May 2026 Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool 01 Nov 2025 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa 19 Feb 2025 Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool 09 Nov 2024 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa 13 May 2024 Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool 03 Sep 2023 Liverpool 3–0 Aston Villa 20 May 2023 Liverpool 1–1 Aston Villa 26 Dec 2022 Aston Villa 1–3 Liverpool 10 May 2022 Aston Villa 1–2 Liverpool 11 Dec 2021 Liverpool 1–0 Aston Villa

News

Fenerbahce thwart Liverpool and Arsenal pushed in Prague: Football Weekly – podcast guardian · 05 Nov Iraola bemoans 'cheap, messy goals' in Liverpool loss at Fenerbahce espn · 05 Nov Fenerbahce boss Kuyt: Win vs. Liverpool 'another miracle in Istanbul' espn · 05 Nov Another 'miracle' in Istanbul - but this one hurt Liverpool bbc · 05 Nov Why Iraola's Liverpool are still a work in progress bbc · 04 Nov Liverpool crumble at Kuyt's Fenerbahce bbc · 04 Nov Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa bbc · 04 Nov Fenerbahce 3-2 Liverpool: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 04 Nov