Premier League
· Round 8 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:30
Pre-match prediction
27%
26%
46%
Aston Villa 27%
Draw 26%
46% Manchester City
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.75
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
1-2 10%
0-1 9%
0-2 9%
0-0 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Aston Villa
27% vs 21%
Draw
26% vs 21%
Manchester City
46% vs 58%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
MC
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
1
Donnarumma GK
5.7
1664
3
Dias LB
6.7
2038
6
Guéhi CB
6.1
1636
24
Gvardiol CB
6.5
1717
45
Khusanov RB
7.1
1541
5
Anderson CDM
6.8
1518
7
Ndiaye CDM
1A
6.6
1501
10
Cherki LW
5.9
1594
11
Doku CAM
7.2
1621
17
Fernández RW
6.8
1460
9
Haaland ST
1
Suzuki GK
7.7
1507
2
Cash LB
6.7
1620
3
Lindelöf CB
6.8
1488
14
Torres CB
6.2
1596
22
Maatsen RB
6.4
1485
7
McGinn CDM
1A
7.5
1578
8
Kamara CDM
6.6
1689
35
Gomes LW
6.6
1520
44
Manzambi CAM
6.3
1516
47
Edward RW
6.5
1492
11
Jackson ST
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Aston Villa · Bench
T. Mings, R. Barkley, E. Buendía, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, L. Goretzka, Brian Madjo, M. Bizot, George Hemmings
Manchester City · Bench
M. Kovačić, R. Aït-Nouri, Vitor Nunes, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, N. O'Reilly, P. Foden, R. McAidoo, R. Lewis
Aston Villa · last 5 A
Manchester City · last 5 D
Head-to-head
24 Oct 2026
Aston Villa
2–1
Manchester City
24 May 2026
Manchester City
1–2
Aston Villa
26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1–0
Manchester City
22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2–1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2–1
Manchester City
03 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4–1
Aston Villa
06 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
1–0
Manchester City
12 Feb 2023
Manchester City
3–1
Aston Villa
03 Sep 2022
Aston Villa
1–1
Manchester City
22 May 2022
Manchester City
3–2
Aston Villa
News
Champions League: Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal, RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City and more – as it happened
guardian · 04 Nov
Erling Haaland settles thriller for Manchester City to end RB Leipzig resistance
guardian · 04 Nov
Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa
bbc · 04 Nov
Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check
guardian · 03 Nov
Manchester City win again and the Ballon d’Or comes to Bromley – Women’s Football Weekly podcast
guardian · 03 Nov
Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology
guardian · 02 Nov
Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls
guardian · 02 Nov