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Premier League · Round 5 · Sun 20 Sep, 13:00

Manchester City
vs
Sunderland

Prediction

68%
22%
Manchester City 68% Draw 22% 11% Sunderland

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.85 – 0.65
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
42%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-0 14% 1-0 14% 1-1 11% 0-0 10% 2-1 9%

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Sunderland · last 5 B

AZ Alkmaar (H) 1-0 W Arsenal (H) 0-2 L Brentford (A) 1-1 D Fulham (H) 1-0 W Ipswich (A) 2-1 L

Head-to-head

01 Jan 2026 Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City 06 Dec 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United crisis klaxon alert and Sunderland soar | Football Weekly Extra – video guardian · 17 Sep Manchester United’s latest nightmare & Sunderland shine in Europe bbc · 16 Sep Enzo Le Fée makes amends from the spot as Sunderland overcome AZ guardian · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Xhaka promises ‘fire’ from Sunderland on long-awaited return to Europe guardian · 16 Sep Haaland goal should not have stood but VAR made the right call with Sunderland penalty | Chris Foy guardian · 14 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep