Premier League
· Round 5 · Sun 20 Sep, 13:00
Pre-match prediction
68%
21%
Manchester City 68%
Draw 21%
11% Sunderland
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.64
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
41%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
2-0 14%
1-0 14%
1-1 11%
0-0 9%
2-1 9%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Manchester City
68% vs 71%
Draw
21% vs 18%
Sunderland
11% vs 11%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
S
Sunderland
4-2-3-1
22
Roefs GK
5.6
1446
4
Danso LB
1455
5
Ballard CB
6.0
1455
6
Methalie CB
20
Mukiele RB
6.2
1481
10
Angulo CDM
1A
6.2
1478
12
Meunier CDM
1A
7.1
1479
27
Sadiki LW
5.9
1470
28
Fée CAM
1A
7.7
1453
34
Xhaka RW
7.0
1489
9
Brobbey ST
1
Donnarumma GK
6.2
1664
3
Dias LB
6.1
2038
6
Guéhi CB
1A
6.7
1636
24
Gvardiol CB
1A
6.1
1717
27
Nunes RB
6.3
1718
5
Anderson CDM
6.3
1518
7
Ndiaye CDM
1501
10
Cherki LW
17
Fernández CAM
1460
42
Semenyo RW
9
Haaland ST
MC
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
Manchester City · Bench
M. Kovačić, J. Doku, R. Aït-Nouri, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, N. O'Reilly, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Lewis
Sunderland · Bench
C. Talbi, C. Rigg, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, W. Isidor, Jules Ahoka, M. Ellborg, T. Hume, M. Fofana
Manchester City · last 5 D
Sunderland · last 5 B
Head-to-head
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