Premier League
· Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 19:00
Pre-match prediction
14%
27%
58%
Sunderland 14%
Draw 27%
58% Arsenal
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
0.64 – 1.38
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams to score
37%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
0-1 16%
0-0 15%
1-1 14%
0-2 13%
1-2 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Sunderland
14% vs 16%
Draw
27% vs 25%
Arsenal
58% vs 58%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
A
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
1
Raya GK
7.3
1776
4
White LB
6.5
1794
6
Magalhães CB
6.7
1958
15
Konsa CB
7.5
1506
33
Calafiori RB
7.0
1625
7
Saka CDM
8
Ødegaard CDM
7.2
1896
17
Tzolis LW
6.8
1516
41
Rice CAM
1A
7.7
1777
49
Lewis-Skelly RW
6.9
1561
29
Havertz ST
6.3
1694
22
Roefs GK
5.6
1446
4
Danso LB
1455
5
Ballard CB
5.7
1455
17
Reinildo CB
5.6
1497
20
Mukiele RB
5.3
1481
10
Angulo CDM
5.9
1478
12
Meunier CDM
6.4
1479
27
Sadiki LW
6.3
1470
28
Fée CAM
6.5
1453
34
Xhaka RW
7.1
1489
9
Brobbey ST
5.9
1442
S
Sunderland
4-2-3-1
Sunderland · Bench
D. Methalie, C. Talbi, C. Rigg, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, W. Isidor, M. Ellborg, T. Hume, M. Fofana
Arsenal · Bench
P. Hincapié, E. Eze, J. Timber, Kepa, V. Gyökeres, N. Madueke, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, Bruno Guimarães
Sunderland · last 5
Head-to-head
News
Fenerbahce thwart Liverpool and Arsenal pushed in Prague: Football Weekly – podcast
guardian · 05 Nov
‘In our veins’: Arsenal pushed by pain of Champions League final defeat, says Raya
guardian · 05 Nov
Champions League: Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal, RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City and more – as it happened
guardian · 04 Nov
Arsenal survive late Slavia scare for hard-fought win
bbc · 04 Nov
Viktor Gyökeres the difference as Arsenal claim nervy win against Slavia Prague
guardian · 04 Nov
Why is it going so wrong for Le Bris at Sunderland?
bbc · 04 Nov
Arteta backs Saliba’s readiness to return for Arsenal at Slavia Prague
guardian · 03 Nov
Saliba's back for Arsenal - how does Arteta solve his defensive dilemma?
bbc · 03 Nov