Premier League
· Round 3 · Sun 06 Sep, 15:30
Pre-match prediction
67%
21%
Arsenal 67%
Draw 21%
12% Chelsea
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.77
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
2-0 12%
1-0 11%
1-1 11%
2-1 10%
3-0 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Arsenal
67% vs 56%
Draw
21% vs 25%
Chelsea
12% vs 20%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
C
Chelsea
3-4-2-1
1
Martínez GK
1642
3
Fofana CB
7.3
1501
5
Lacroix CB
6.7
1529
34
Acheampong CB
5.6
1530
7
Neto CDM
6.2
1563
10
Palmer CDM
6.3
1600
17
Rogers CDM
21
Hato CDM
1A
7.2
1463
24
James CAM
7.2
1581
45
Lavia CAM
6.9
1524
9
Pedro ST
6.3
1553
1
Raya GK
6.7
1776
4
White LB
6.9
1794
6
Magalhães CB
6.9
1958
15
Konsa CB
6.9
1506
33
Calafiori RB
6.2
1625
7
Saka CDM
6.6
1848
8
Ødegaard CDM
17
Tzolis LW
1A
7.6
1516
41
Rice CAM
1A
7.6
1777
49
Lewis-Skelly RW
6.5
1561
29
Havertz ST
A
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
Arsenal · Bench
P. Hincapié, E. Eze, Kepa, V. Gyökeres, N. Madueke, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, Bruno Guimarães, M. Dowman
Chelsea · Bench
V. Barco, L. Colwill, J. Bynoe-Gittens, D. Welbeck, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, M. Gusto, Pep Chavarría, M. Penders, Estêvão
Arsenal · last 5
Head-to-head
06 Sep 2026
Arsenal
2–1
Chelsea
01 Mar 2026
Arsenal
2–1
Chelsea
30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1–1
Arsenal
16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1–0
Chelsea
10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1–1
Arsenal
23 Apr 2024
Arsenal
5–0
Chelsea
21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2–2
Arsenal
02 May 2023
Arsenal
3–1
Chelsea
06 Nov 2022
Chelsea
0–1
Arsenal
20 Apr 2022
Chelsea
2–4
Arsenal
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