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Premier League · Round 2 · Sun 30 Aug, 13:00

Chelsea
4–3
Full time
Brighton & Hove Albion

Pre-match prediction

43%
26%
31%
Chelsea 43% Draw 26% 31% Brighton & Hove Albion

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Expected goals
1.64 – 1.36
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 1-0 7% 2-0 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Chelsea
43% vs 51%
Draw
26% vs 25%
Brighton & Hove Albion
31% vs 24%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1
1
Verbruggen GK
5.3 1628
5
Dunk LB
6.2 1525
21
Boscagli CB
6.9 1557
24
Kadıoğlu CB
5.7 1585
44
Vušković RB
6.7 1580
13
Groß CDM
Goal 7.5 1580
25
Gómez CDM
6.2 1628
27
Wieffer LW
7.5 1588
29
Cuyper CAM
6.2 1556
35
Yalcouyé RW
Goal 7.3 1516
19
Kostoulas ST
6.3 1537
26
Martínez GK
1642
3
Fofana CB
6.5 1501
5
Lacroix CB
6.3 1529
6
Colwill CB
6.2 1579
10
Palmer LM
Goal 7.9 1600
21
Hato CM
1A 7.0 1463
27
Gusto CM
6.5 1546
45
Lavia RM
Goal 7.3 1524
7
Neto LW
Goal 8.2 1563
9
Pedro ST
Goal 1A 8.2 1553
17
Rogers RW
1A 8.0 1536
Chelsea 3-4-2-1

Chelsea · Bench

Valentín Barco, Jamie Gittens, Danny Welbeck, Reece James, Moisés Caicedo, Pep Chavarría, Josh Acheampong, Mike Penders, Estêvão

Brighton & Hove Albion · Bench

Pascal Struijk, Jaouen Hadjam, Promise David, Ibrahim Osman, Costinha, Amario Cozier-Duberry, Jason Steele, Matt O'Riley, Nehemiah Oriola

Chelsea · last 5

Fulham (A) 2-3 W Sunderland (A) 2-1 L Tottenham Hotspur (H) 2-1 W Liverpool (A) 1-1 D Nottingham Forest (H) 1-3 L

Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5

Aston Villa (H) 4-0 W Manchester United (H) 0-3 L Leeds (A) 1-0 L Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) 3-0 W Newcastle United (A) 3-1 L

Head-to-head

30 Aug 2026 Chelsea 4–3 Brighton & Hove Albion 21 Apr 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea 27 Sep 2025 Chelsea 1–3 Brighton & Hove Albion 14 Feb 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 3–0 Chelsea 28 Sep 2024 Chelsea 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion 15 May 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Chelsea 03 Dec 2023 Chelsea 3–2 Brighton & Hove Albion 15 Apr 2023 Chelsea 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion 29 Oct 2022 Brighton & Hove Albion 4–1 Chelsea 18 Jan 2022 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Chelsea

News

How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star bbc · 04 Nov Chelsea put six past Charlton to top WSL bbc · 01 Nov Chelsea beat 10-man Man Utd to pile more pressure on Carrick bbc · 31 Oct Manchester United’s capitulation at Chelsea paints picture of a club that barely exists | Barney Ronay guardian · 31 Oct Returning Estevao brings X-factor to strikerless Chelsea bbc · 31 Oct Carrick bemoans Man Utd defending in loss to Chelsea bbc · 31 Oct Manchester United crisis deepens with Chelsea defeat and Martínez red card guardian · 31 Oct Rogers shines, 3/10 for sent-off Martinez - player ratings for Chelsea v Man Utd bbc · 31 Oct