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Premier League · Round 4 · Sun 13 Sep, 15:30

Pre-match prediction

30%
27%
43%
Manchester United 30% Draw 27% 43% Manchester City

Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Expected goals
1.30 – 1.74
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
62%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-2 9% 0-2 7% 2-1 7% 0-1 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Manchester United
30% vs 32%
Draw
27% vs 25%
Manchester City
43% vs 43%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Manchester City 4-2-3-1
1
Donnarumma GK
6.8 1666
3
Dias LB
7.4 2039
6
Guéhi CB
7.3 1617
24
Gvardiol CB
7.4 1732
27
Nunes RB
7.7 1709
5
Anderson CDM
6.7 1522
10
Cherki CDM
7.2 1583
17
Fernández LW
1482
42
Semenyo CAM
6.2 1602
47
Foden RW
6.0 1892
9
Haaland ST
Goal 7.7 1798
1
Lammens GK
6.6 1647
2
Dalot LB
6.6 1508
5
Maguire CB
6.7 1691
6
Martínez CB
7.0 1508
13
Dorgu RB
7.1 1515
8
Fernandes CDM
7.2 1691
9
Rashford CDM
6.5 1532
18
Tielemans LW
6.7 1495
19
Mbeumo CAM
6.2 1653
37
Mainoo RW
7.2 1531
10
Cunha ST
6.3 1565
Manchester United 4-2-3-1

Manchester United · Bench

N. Mazraoui, M. Mount, J. Zirkzee, K. Darlow, L. Yoro, Andrey Santos, A. Heaven, B. Šeško, S. Lacey

Manchester City · Bench

I. Ndiaye, M. Kovačić, Vitor Nunes, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, N. O'Reilly, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Lewis

Head-to-head

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