Premier League
· Round 4 · Sun 13 Sep, 15:30
Pre-match prediction
30%
27%
43%
Manchester United 30%
Draw 27%
43% Manchester City
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.74
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
62%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
1-2 9%
0-2 7%
2-1 7%
0-1 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Manchester United
30% vs 32%
Draw
27% vs 25%
Manchester City
43% vs 43%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
MC
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
1
Donnarumma GK
6.8
1664
3
Dias LB
7.4
2038
6
Guéhi CB
7.3
1636
24
Gvardiol CB
7.4
1717
27
Nunes RB
7.7
1718
5
Anderson CDM
6.7
1518
10
Cherki CDM
7.2
1594
17
Fernández LW
1460
42
Semenyo CAM
6.2
1625
47
Foden RW
6.0
1886
9
Haaland ST
1
Lammens GK
6.6
1608
2
Dalot LB
6.6
1473
5
Maguire CB
6.7
1652
6
Martínez CB
7.0
1488
13
Dorgu RB
7.1
1515
8
Fernandes CDM
7.2
1674
9
Rashford CDM
6.5
1531
18
Tielemans LW
6.7
1481
19
Mbeumo CAM
6.2
1614
37
Mainoo RW
7.2
1521
10
Cunha ST
6.3
1538
MU
Manchester United
4-2-3-1
Manchester United · Bench
N. Mazraoui, M. Mount, J. Zirkzee, K. Darlow, L. Yoro, Andrey Santos, A. Heaven, B. Šeško, S. Lacey
Manchester City · Bench
I. Ndiaye, M. Kovačić, Vitor Nunes, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, N. O'Reilly, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Lewis
Manchester United · last 5
Manchester City · last 5
Head-to-head
13 Sep 2026
Manchester United
0–1
Manchester City
17 Jan 2026
Manchester United
2–0
Manchester City
14 Sep 2025
Manchester City
3–0
Manchester United
06 Apr 2025
Manchester United
0–0
Manchester City
15 Dec 2024
Manchester City
1–2
Manchester United
03 Mar 2024
Manchester City
3–1
Manchester United
29 Oct 2023
Manchester United
0–3
Manchester City
14 Jan 2023
Manchester United
2–1
Manchester City
02 Oct 2022
Manchester City
6–3
Manchester United
06 Mar 2022
Manchester City
4–1
Manchester United
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