Premier League
· Round 5 · Sat 19 Sep, 11:30
Pre-match prediction
31%
29%
40%
Tottenham Hotspur 31%
Draw 29%
40% Aston Villa
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.35
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
55%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
0-0 9%
1-2 8%
0-1 8%
2-1 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Tottenham Hotspur
31% vs 50%
Draw
29% vs 25%
Aston Villa
40% vs 25%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
1
Suzuki GK
8.0
1507
3
Lindelöf LB
7.0
1488
5
Mings CB
7.0
1568
13
Ruggeri CB
7.1
1508
29
Wan-Bissaka RB
6.6
1490
7
McGinn CDM
1A
7.1
1578
8
Kamara CDM
1A
7.3
1689
10
Buendía LW
35
Gomes CAM
6.9
1520
44
Manzambi RW
11
Jackson ST
1646
31
Kinský GK
5.6
1514
3
Robertson LB
1A
6.2
1446
6
van Hecke CB
23
Porro CB
5.7
1479
37
de Ven RB
5.9
1520
16
Tonali CDM
6.6
1507
17
Sávio CDM
18
Fernandes LW
6.3
1508
22
Marmoush CAM
1599
30
Bentancur RW
6.2
1527
19
Solanke ST
6.0
1416
TH
Tottenham Hotspur
4-2-3-1
Tottenham Hotspur · Bench
T. Adarabioyo, M. Senesi, C. Gallagher, J. Maddison, D. Udogie, A. Gray, L. Bergvall, M. Kudus, M. Dúbravka
Aston Villa · Bench
M. Cash, T. Harwood-Bellis, R. Barkley, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, J. Wright, George Hemmings
Tottenham Hotspur · last 5
Head-to-head
19 Sep 2026
Tottenham Hotspur
2–3
Aston Villa
03 May 2026
Aston Villa
1–2
Tottenham Hotspur
19 Oct 2025
Tottenham Hotspur
1–2
Aston Villa
16 May 2025
Aston Villa
2–0
Tottenham Hotspur
03 Nov 2024
Tottenham Hotspur
4–1
Aston Villa
10 Mar 2024
Aston Villa
0–4
Tottenham Hotspur
26 Nov 2023
Tottenham Hotspur
1–2
Aston Villa
13 May 2023
Aston Villa
2–1
Tottenham Hotspur
01 Jan 2023
Tottenham Hotspur
0–2
Aston Villa
09 Apr 2022
Aston Villa
0–4
Tottenham Hotspur
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