Premier League
· Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
45%
28%
27%
Aston Villa 45%
Draw 28%
27% Nottingham Forest
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.17
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
0-0 10%
1-0 9%
2-1 9%
0-1 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Aston Villa
45% vs 43%
Draw
28% vs 28%
Nottingham Forest
27% vs 30%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
NF
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1
26
Sels GK
7.4
1572
2
Diomande CB
7.2
1484
5
Murillo CB
1A
6.9
1482
34
Aina CB
7.0
1609
3
Williams CDM
6.7
1415
10
Gibbs-White CDM
1A
7.7
1423
14
Ndoye CDM
6.4
1462
21
Schlager CDM
7.2
1480
24
McAtee CAM
6.1
1458
27
Muñoz CAM
1619
19
Delap ST
1
Suzuki GK
6.8
1507
3
Lindelöf LB
6.4
1488
14
Torres CB
6.7
1596
22
Maatsen CB
6.4
1485
29
Wan-Bissaka RB
7.1
1490
6
Barkley CDM
6.6
1488
7
McGinn CDM
1A
7.5
1578
8
Kamara LW
6.3
1689
10
Buendía CAM
6.0
1520
53
Hemmings RW
6.2
1472
11
Jackson ST
1646
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Aston Villa · Bench
T. Mings, M. Ruggeri, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, M. Bizot, J. Manzambi, Alysson Edward
Nottingham Forest · Bench
I. Sangaré, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez, C. Wood, Igor Jesus, John, A. Kalimuendo, R. Yates, L. Netz
Aston Villa · last 5
Nottingham Forest · last 5
Head-to-head
12 Sep 2026
Aston Villa
1–2
Nottingham Forest
12 Apr 2026
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Aston Villa
03 Jan 2026
Aston Villa
3–1
Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025
Aston Villa
2–1
Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2024
Nottingham Forest
2–1
Aston Villa
24 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
4–2
Nottingham Forest
05 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2–0
Aston Villa
08 Apr 2023
Aston Villa
2–0
Nottingham Forest
10 Oct 2022
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Aston Villa
News
Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa
bbc · 04 Nov
Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check
guardian · 03 Nov
Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology
guardian · 02 Nov
Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls
guardian · 02 Nov
Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live
guardian · 01 Nov
Zion Suzuki horror own goal haunts Aston Villa to hand Fulham a point
guardian · 31 Oct
Keith Andrews - post-match interview - Brentford v Nottingham Forest
bbc · 31 Oct