Premier League
· Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
45%
28%
27%
Aston Villa 45%
Draw 28%
27% Nottingham Forest
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.17
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
0-0 10%
1-0 9%
2-1 9%
0-1 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Aston Villa
45% vs 43%
Draw
28% vs 28%
Nottingham Forest
27% vs 30%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
NF
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1
26
Sels GK
7.4
1612
2
Diomande CB
7.2
1513
5
Murillo CB
1A
6.9
1522
34
Aina CB
7.0
1625
3
Williams CDM
6.7
1455
10
Gibbs-White CDM
1A
7.7
1455
14
Ndoye CDM
6.4
1491
21
Schlager CDM
7.2
1511
24
McAtee CAM
6.1
1496
27
Muñoz CAM
1610
19
Delap ST
1
Suzuki GK
6.8
1480
3
Lindelöf LB
6.4
1462
14
Torres CB
6.7
1588
22
Maatsen CB
6.4
1479
29
Wan-Bissaka RB
7.1
1475
6
Barkley CDM
6.6
1483
7
McGinn CDM
1A
7.5
1561
8
Kamara LW
6.3
1663
10
Buendía CAM
6.0
1500
53
Hemmings RW
6.2
1470
11
Jackson ST
1640
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Aston Villa · Bench
T. Mings, M. Ruggeri, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, M. Bizot, J. Manzambi, Alysson Edward
Nottingham Forest · Bench
I. Sangaré, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez, C. Wood, Igor Jesus, John, A. Kalimuendo, R. Yates, L. Netz
Aston Villa · last 5
Nottingham Forest · last 5
Head-to-head
12 Sep 2026
Aston Villa
1–2
Nottingham Forest
12 Apr 2026
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Aston Villa
03 Jan 2026
Aston Villa
3–1
Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025
Aston Villa
2–1
Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2024
Nottingham Forest
2–1
Aston Villa
24 Feb 2024
Aston Villa
4–2
Nottingham Forest
05 Nov 2023
Nottingham Forest
2–0
Aston Villa
08 Apr 2023
Aston Villa
2–0
Nottingham Forest
10 Oct 2022
Nottingham Forest
1–1
Aston Villa
News
How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer
bbc · 17 Sep
Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry
guardian · 16 Sep
Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts
guardian · 16 Sep
Emery takes responsibility as Forest strike late at winless Aston Villa
guardian · 12 Sep
Aston Villa ignite season in five-goal thriller against Club Brugge
bbc · 09 Sep
Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 08 Sep
First-half treble powers Aston Villa to Champions League win at Club Brugge
guardian · 08 Sep
Emery ready to ignite Aston Villa’s season at Club Brugge after familiar slow start
guardian · 07 Sep