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Premier League · Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

Pre-match prediction

45%
28%
27%
Aston Villa 45% Draw 28% 27% Nottingham Forest

Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.36 – 1.17
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 0-0 10% 1-0 9% 2-1 9% 0-1 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Aston Villa
45% vs 43%
Draw
28% vs 28%
Nottingham Forest
27% vs 30%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1
26
Sels GK
7.4 1612
2
Diomande CB
7.2 1513
5
Murillo CB
1A 6.9 1522
34
Aina CB
7.0 1625
3
Williams CDM
6.7 1455
10
Gibbs-White CDM
1A 7.7 1455
14
Ndoye CDM
6.4 1491
21
Schlager CDM
7.2 1511
24
McAtee CAM
6.1 1496
27
Muñoz CAM
1610
19
Delap ST
Goal 7.7 1543
1
Suzuki GK
6.8 1480
3
Lindelöf LB
6.4 1462
14
Torres CB
6.7 1588
22
Maatsen CB
6.4 1479
29
Wan-Bissaka RB
7.1 1475
6
Barkley CDM
6.6 1483
7
McGinn CDM
1A 7.5 1561
8
Kamara LW
6.3 1663
10
Buendía CAM
6.0 1500
53
Hemmings RW
6.2 1470
11
Jackson ST
1640
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

Aston Villa · Bench

T. Mings, M. Ruggeri, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, M. Bizot, J. Manzambi, Alysson Edward

Nottingham Forest · Bench

I. Sangaré, C. Hudson-Odoi, N. Domínguez, C. Wood, Igor Jesus, John, A. Kalimuendo, R. Yates, L. Netz

Head-to-head

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