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Premier League · Round 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 16:30

Newcastle United
0–1
Full time
Aston Villa

Pre-match prediction

40%
26%
34%
Newcastle United 40% Draw 26% 34% Aston Villa

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.74 – 1.49
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
65%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 2-2 7% 2-0 6%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Newcastle United
40% vs 44%
Draw
26% vs 25%
Aston Villa
34% vs 31%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
1
Suzuki GK
6.6 1507
2
Cash LB
7.3 1620
3
Lindelöf CB
6.8 1488
5
Mings CB
7.1 1568
29
Wan-Bissaka RB
7.2 1490
8
Kamara CDM
6.7 1689
10
Buendía CDM
6.6 1520
35
Gomes LW
1A 7.7 1520
44
Manzambi CAM
Goal 8.2 1516
47
Edward RW
7.4 1492
11
Jackson ST
1646
21
Horníček GK
6.5 1487
3
Hall LB
6.7 1476
4
Botman CB
6.5 1514
12
Thiaw CB
6.6 1457
67
Miley RB
6.3 1468
6
González CDM
1590
7
Joelinton CDM
6.4 1476
9
Wissa LW
6.1 1510
11
Barnes CAM
6.6 1489
28
Willock RW
6.9 1597
20
Fernandez-Pardo ST
Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Newcastle United · Bench

N. Pope, F. Schär, A. Bamba, W. Osula, Sean Steur, B. Touré, J. Murphy, D. Burn, A. Dedić

Aston Villa · Bench

T. Harwood-Bellis, R. Barkley, J. McGinn, Pau Torres, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, L. Goretzka, Brian Madjo, M. Bizot

Newcastle United · last 5 C

Coventry (A) 4-1 L Hull (H) 2-1 W Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Fenerbahce (H) 6-0 W Brentford (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 2-3 W Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W

Head-to-head

17 Oct 2026 Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa 25 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa 16 Aug 2025 Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United 19 Apr 2025 Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle United 26 Dec 2024 Newcastle United 3–0 Aston Villa 30 Jan 2024 Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United 12 Aug 2023 Newcastle United 5–1 Aston Villa 15 Apr 2023 Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle United 29 Oct 2022 Newcastle United 4–0 Aston Villa 13 Feb 2022 Newcastle United 1–0 Aston Villa

News

Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa bbc · 04 Nov Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 03 Nov Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check guardian · 03 Nov Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 02 Nov Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology guardian · 02 Nov Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls guardian · 02 Nov Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live guardian · 01 Nov Zion Suzuki horror own goal haunts Aston Villa to hand Fulham a point guardian · 31 Oct