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Premier League · Round 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 16:30

Newcastle United
vs
Aston Villa

Prediction

40%
27%
33%
Newcastle United 40% Draw 27% 33% Aston Villa

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.69 – 1.41
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
63%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-1 9% 1-2 8% 2-0 6% 2-2 6%

Newcastle United · last 5

Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W Liverpool (H) 2-2 D Fulham (A) 2-0 L

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W Hull (A) 0-0 D Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 4-0 L

Head-to-head

25 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa 16 Aug 2025 Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United 19 Apr 2025 Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle United 26 Dec 2024 Newcastle United 3–0 Aston Villa 30 Jan 2024 Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle United 12 Aug 2023 Newcastle United 5–1 Aston Villa 15 Apr 2023 Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle United 29 Oct 2022 Newcastle United 4–0 Aston Villa 13 Feb 2022 Newcastle United 1–0 Aston Villa 21 Aug 2021 Aston Villa 2–0 Newcastle United

News

How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer bbc · 17 Sep Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry guardian · 16 Sep Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts guardian · 16 Sep Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 14 Sep Emery takes responsibility as Forest strike late at winless Aston Villa guardian · 12 Sep Aston Villa ignite season in five-goal thriller against Club Brugge bbc · 09 Sep Club Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 08 Sep First-half treble powers Aston Villa to Champions League win at Club Brugge guardian · 08 Sep