Premier League
· Round 4 · Mon 14 Sep, 19:00
Pre-match prediction
39%
29%
33%
Leeds 39%
Draw 29%
33% Newcastle United
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
2-1 9%
0-0 8%
1-2 8%
1-0 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Leeds
39% vs 41%
Draw
29% vs 27%
Newcastle United
33% vs 32%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
NU
Newcastle United
4-2-3-1
21
Horníček GK
5.5
1487
3
Hall LB
6.4
1476
4
Botman CB
6.3
1514
12
Thiaw CB
5.9
1457
37
Dedić RB
5.2
1507
6
González CDM
1590
11
Barnes CDM
6.0
1489
20
Fernandez-Pardo LW
23
Murphy CAM
5.5
1579
67
Miley RW
5.4
1468
9
Wissa ST
6.4
1510
1
Trafford GK
7.5
1509
5
Muharemović CB
1A
7.3
1509
24
Justin CB
6.4
1550
30
Elvedi CB
1369
2
Bogle LM
3
Gudmundsson CM
6.3
1512
4
Ampadu CM
6.5
1540
18
Stach CM
6.6
1511
22
Tanaka RM
6.7
1534
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
19
Okafor ST
L
Leeds
3-5-2
Leeds · Bench
D. James, S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard
Newcastle United · Bench
N. Pope, T. Livramento, F. Schär, A. Bamba, Sean Steur, B. Touré, J. Willock, J. Ramsey, M. Miley
Leeds · last 5
Newcastle United · last 5
Head-to-head
14 Sep 2026
Leeds
4–1
Newcastle United
07 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
4–3
Leeds
30 Aug 2025
Leeds
0–0
Newcastle United
13 May 2023
Leeds
2–2
Newcastle United
31 Dec 2022
Newcastle United
0–0
Leeds
22 Jan 2022
Leeds
0–1
Newcastle United
17 Sep 2021
Newcastle United
1–1
Leeds
26 Jan 2021
Newcastle United
1–2
Leeds
16 Dec 2020
Leeds
5–2
Newcastle United
News
Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Premier League – as it happened
guardian · 02 Nov
Evanilson scores again as Bournemouth beat Leeds
bbc · 31 Oct
Evanilson profits from costly Trafford blunder as Bournemouth punish Leeds
guardian · 31 Oct
Calvert-Lewin set for new Leeds deal
bbc · 30 Oct
Chiellini guidance to Leeds 'rock' - could Muharemovic be signing of season?
bbc · 29 Oct
Sunderland stay bottom after goalless draw with Leeds
bbc · 25 Oct
Roefs and Trafford stand firm as Sunderland and Leeds battle for point
guardian · 25 Oct
Sunderland 0-0 Leeds: Premier League – as it happened
guardian · 25 Oct