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Premier League · Round 4 · Mon 14 Sep, 19:00

Pre-match prediction

39%
29%
33%
Leeds 39% Draw 29% 33% Newcastle United

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

Expected goals
1.43 – 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 14% 2-1 9% 0-0 8% 1-2 8% 1-0 7%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Leeds
39% vs 41%
Draw
29% vs 27%
Newcastle United
33% vs 32%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Newcastle United 4-2-3-1
21
Horníček GK
5.5 1487
3
Hall LB
6.4 1476
4
Botman CB
6.3 1514
12
Thiaw CB
5.9 1457
37
Dedić RB
5.2 1507
6
González CDM
1590
11
Barnes CDM
6.0 1489
20
Fernandez-Pardo LW
23
Murphy CAM
5.5 1579
67
Miley RW
5.4 1468
9
Wissa ST
6.4 1510
1
Trafford GK
7.5 1509
5
Muharemović CB
1A 7.3 1509
24
Justin CB
6.4 1550
30
Elvedi CB
1369
2
Bogle LM
Goal 8.0 1520
3
Gudmundsson CM
6.3 1512
4
Ampadu CM
6.5 1540
18
Stach CM
6.6 1511
22
Tanaka RM
6.7 1534
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
Goal 1A 8.4 1526
19
Okafor ST
Goal 7.9 1535
Leeds 3-5-2

Leeds · Bench

D. James, S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard

Newcastle United · Bench

N. Pope, T. Livramento, F. Schär, A. Bamba, Sean Steur, B. Touré, J. Willock, J. Ramsey, M. Miley

Head-to-head

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