Premier League
· Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
51%
26%
23%
Brighton & Hove Albion 51%
Draw 26%
23% Leeds
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.09
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
55%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
1-0 10%
2-1 10%
2-0 9%
0-0 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Brighton & Hove Albion
51% vs 49%
Draw
26% vs 26%
Leeds
23% vs 25%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Leeds
3-4-2-1
1
Trafford GK
6.6
1526
5
Muharemović CB
6.9
1526
24
Justin CB
6.7
1565
30
Elvedi CB
1442
2
Bogle CDM
6.9
1535
3
Gudmundsson CDM
6.9
1526
4
Ampadu CDM
6.7
1557
18
Stach CDM
6.7
1523
19
Okafor CAM
6.6
1542
22
Tanaka CAM
1A
7.0
1546
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
7.3
1543
1
Verbruggen GK
8.2
1575
5
Dunk LB
7.9
1503
21
Boscagli CB
7.3
1508
24
Kadıoğlu CB
6.5
1541
44
Vušković RB
8.0
1527
13
Groß CDM
5.9
1528
25
Gómez CDM
6.3
1576
26
Ayari LW
6.9
1642
29
Cuyper CAM
1A
6.6
1509
35
Yalcouyé RW
7.2
1511
19
Kostoulas ST
6.9
1497
B&
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1
Brighton & Hove Albion · Bench
J. Hadjam, P. Struijk, P. David, José María Andrés Baixauli, I. Osman, Costinha, J. Steele, M. O'Riley, N. Oriola
Leeds · Bench
D. James, S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard
Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5
Head-to-head
05 Sep 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
Leeds
17 May 2026
Leeds
1–0
Brighton & Hove Albion
01 Nov 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3–0
Leeds
11 Mar 2023
Leeds
2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
Leeds
15 May 2022
Leeds
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Nov 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–0
Leeds
01 May 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
2–0
Leeds
16 Jan 2021
Leeds
0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
News
A team in form - how Farke has turned Leeds around
bbc · 15 Sep
Newcastle couldn't match the physicality of Leeds - Jaissle
bbc · 14 Sep
Farke 'very happy' with dominant Leeds performance
bbc · 14 Sep
Leeds inflict heavy defeat on Newcastle to climb to third
bbc · 14 Sep
Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United: Premier League – as it happened
guardian · 14 Sep
Calvert-Lewin shows the way as Leeds thrash limp Newcastle and rise to third
guardian · 14 Sep
Calvert-Lewin stars but Botman struggles - player ratings for Leeds v Newcastle
bbc · 14 Sep
Farke’s blueprint for revitalised Leeds continues upward trajectory
guardian · 12 Sep