Premier League
· Round 3 · Sat 05 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
51%
26%
23%
Brighton & Hove Albion 51%
Draw 26%
23% Leeds
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.09
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
55%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
1-0 10%
2-1 10%
2-0 9%
0-0 8%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Brighton & Hove Albion
51% vs 49%
Draw
26% vs 26%
Leeds
23% vs 25%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Leeds
3-4-2-1
1
Trafford GK
6.6
1509
5
Muharemović CB
6.9
1509
24
Justin CB
6.7
1550
30
Elvedi CB
1369
2
Bogle CDM
3
Gudmundsson CDM
6.9
1512
4
Ampadu CDM
6.7
1540
18
Stach CDM
6.7
1511
19
Okafor CAM
6.6
1535
22
Tanaka CAM
1A
7.0
1534
9
Calvert-Lewin ST
7.3
1526
1
Verbruggen GK
8.2
1628
5
Dunk LB
7.9
1525
21
Boscagli CB
7.3
1557
24
Kadıoğlu CB
6.5
1585
44
Vušković RB
13
Groß CDM
5.9
1580
25
Gómez CDM
6.3
1628
26
Ayari LW
6.9
1695
29
Cuyper CAM
1A
6.6
1556
35
Yalcouyé RW
7.2
1516
19
Kostoulas ST
6.9
1537
B&
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1
Brighton & Hove Albion · Bench
J. Hadjam, P. Struijk, P. David, José María Andrés Baixauli, I. Osman, Costinha, J. Steele, M. O'Riley, N. Oriola
Leeds · Bench
D. James, S. Longstaff, H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bijol, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, M. Bard
Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5
Head-to-head
05 Sep 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
Leeds
17 May 2026
Leeds
1–0
Brighton & Hove Albion
01 Nov 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3–0
Leeds
11 Mar 2023
Leeds
2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Aug 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–0
Leeds
15 May 2022
Leeds
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
27 Nov 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–0
Leeds
01 May 2021
Brighton & Hove Albion
2–0
Leeds
16 Jan 2021
Leeds
0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
News
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guardian · 31 Oct
Calvert-Lewin set for new Leeds deal
bbc · 30 Oct
Chiellini guidance to Leeds 'rock' - could Muharemovic be signing of season?
bbc · 29 Oct
Sunderland stay bottom after goalless draw with Leeds
bbc · 25 Oct
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guardian · 25 Oct
Sunderland 0-0 Leeds: Premier League – as it happened
guardian · 25 Oct