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Premier League · Round 5 · Sat 19 Sep, 14:00

Newcastle United
2–1
Full time
Hull

Pre-match prediction

65%
22%
13%
Newcastle United 65% Draw 22% 13% Hull

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
1.72 – 0.84
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
48%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-0 12% 2-0 11% 2-1 10% 0-0 9%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Newcastle United
65% vs 59%
Draw
22% vs 22%
Hull
13% vs 19%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Hull 5-4-1
19
Tzolakis GK
7.1 1506
2
Coyle LWB
5.7 1497
3
Giles CB
6.3 1513
6
Ajayi CB
6.3 1501
15
Egan CB
6.6 1508
22
Herrington RWB
6.8 1497
7
Thomas LM
10
Belloumi CM
1A 6.8 1507
25
Crooks CM
6.1 1504
27
Slater RM
6.2 1509
9
McBurnie ST
6.2 1506
21
Horníček GK
6.7 1487
3
Hall LB
Goal 7.2 1476
4
Botman CB
7.3 1514
12
Thiaw CB
7.0 1457
23
Murphy RB
6.2 1579
11
Barnes CDM
2A 8.2 1489
14
Steur CDM
6.7 1495
20
Fernandez-Pardo LW
28
Willock CAM
Goal 8.2 1597
67
Miley RW
7.0 1468
9
Wissa ST
6.5 1510
Newcastle United 4-2-3-1

Newcastle United · Bench

N. Pope, F. Schär, A. Bamba, B. Touré, K. Thompson, Miodrag Pivaš, V. Salia, M. Miley, M. Mills

Hull · Bench

J. Gelhardt, D. Phillips, J. Hjertø-Dahl, P. McNair, E. Stroud, L. Gourna-Douath, T. Iroegbunam, R. Vaz, M. Cho

Newcastle United · last 5

Leeds (A) 4-1 L Bournemouth (H) 2-2 D Tottenham Hotspur (A) 0-2 W Liverpool (H) 2-2 D Fulham (A) 2-0 L

Hull · last 5

Chelsea (A) 2-2 D Aston Villa (H) 0-0 D Coventry (A) 0-1 W Manchester United (H) 2-0 W

Head-to-head

19 Sep 2026 Newcastle United 2–1 Hull

News

Newcastle United 0-1 Everton: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 02 Nov Coventry, Ipswich, Hull - promoted trio enjoy positive starts bbc · 31 Oct Enciso's stunning goal earns Ipswich draw at Hull bbc · 31 Oct Julio Enciso strikes again to earn Ipswich a point against Hull guardian · 31 Oct McBurnie coughs up blood during Hull draw - gossip bbc · 27 Oct Hull draw third consecutive home game after being held by Brentford bbc · 25 Oct Ouattara rescues point for Brentford as Hull maintain unbeaten home record guardian · 25 Oct