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Premier League · Round 4 · Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

Chelsea
2–2
Full time
Hull

Pre-match prediction

51%
25%
23%
Chelsea 51% Draw 25% 23% Hull

✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
1.30 – 1.16
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
51%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 15% 0-0 10% 1-0 9% 2-1 8% 0-1 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Chelsea
51% vs 78%
Draw
25% vs 14%
Hull
23% vs 8%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Hull 5-4-1
19
Tzolakis GK
6.6 1529
2
Coyle LWB
6.0 1520
3
Giles CB
1A 7.1 1529
6
Ajayi CB
6.2 1525
15
Egan CB
6.0 1529
32
Mendy RWB
6.5 1520
10
Belloumi LM
Goal2 8.4 1527
21
Stroud CM
6.1 1521
25
Crooks CM
6.4 1518
27
Slater RM
6.7 1529
9
McBurnie ST
1A 6.7 1529
1
Martínez GK
1642
3
Fofana CB
7.0 1499
6
Colwill CB
6.6 1570
21
Hato CB
6.2 1461
7
Neto LM
6.4 1553
24
James CM
7.2 1581
27
Gusto CM
6.2 1545
45
Lavia RM
6.0 1510
9
Pedro LW
Goal 1A 8.2 1524
10
Palmer ST
1A 7.4 1588
17
Rogers RW
Goal 7.2 1528
Chelsea 3-4-2-1

Chelsea · Bench

V. Barco, M. Lacroix, J. Bynoe-Gittens, D. Welbeck, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, Pep Chavarría, Joshua Kofi Acheampong, M. Penders, Estêvão

Hull · Bench

S. Thomas, D. Phillips, B. Norton-Cuffy, L. Herrington, M. Targett, L. Gourna-Douath, T. Iroegbunam, R. Vaz, M. Cho

Chelsea · last 5

Arsenal (A) 2-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (H) 4-3 W Fulham (A) 2-3 W Sunderland (A) 2-1 L Tottenham Hotspur (H) 2-1 W

Hull · last 5

Aston Villa (H) 0-0 D Coventry (A) 0-1 W Manchester United (H) 2-0 W

Head-to-head

12 Sep 2026 Chelsea 2–2 Hull

News

From depression after Chelsea injury to playing non-league at 37 bbc · 18 Sep Todd Boehly exits Chelsea diminished after having his fingers burned guardian · 18 Sep Hull City’s rise from Championship strugglers to Premier League fliers guardian · 17 Sep Chelsea's Lavia out to 'change narrative' after injuries bbc · 17 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea stakes to Clearlake bbc · 16 Sep Boehly and Walter sell Chelsea shares as Clearlake Capital takes full control of club guardian · 16 Sep What's gone wrong for Chelsea talent Kendry Paez? bbc · 16 Sep Chelsea’s five-star showing and Arsenal frustrated at home – Women’s Football Weekly podcast guardian · 15 Sep