Premier League
· Round 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
43%
26%
30%
Aston Villa 43%
Draw 26%
30% Brentford
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.44
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
0-0 7%
1-0 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Aston Villa
43% vs 37%
Draw
26% vs 26%
Brentford
30% vs 36%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
B
Brentford
4-2-3-1
1
Kelleher GK
6.7
1532
20
Ajer LB
25
Diouf CB
1489
33
Kayode CB
5.7
1615
44
Schuster RB
6.3
1515
6
Yarmolyuk CDM
7
Schade CDM
6.4
1594
19
Anthony LW
1A
6.9
1531
23
Lewis-Potter CAM
6.2
1486
27
Janelt RW
6.0
1561
9
Thiago ST
6.4
1577
1
Suzuki GK
6.1
1507
2
Cash LB
5.9
1620
3
Lindelöf CB
6.7
1488
5
Mings CB
6.2
1568
13
Ruggeri RB
6.3
1508
7
McGinn CDM
8
Kamara CDM
6.3
1689
10
Buendía LW
6.0
1520
35
Gomes CAM
6.5
1520
44
Manzambi RW
1A
7.7
1516
11
Jackson ST
1646
AV
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1
Aston Villa · Bench
R. Barkley, Pau Torres, A. Garnacho, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye, L. Bogarde, A. Wan-Bissaka, M. Bizot, Alysson Edward
Brentford · Bench
A. Hickey, S. van den Berg, M. Jensen, D. Ouattara, H. Valdimarsson, C. Wilson, Fábio Carvalho, M. Sangaré, B. Fredrick
Aston Villa · last 5 C
Brentford · last 5 D
Head-to-head
10 Oct 2026
Aston Villa
2–2
Brentford
01 Feb 2026
Aston Villa
0–1
Brentford
23 Aug 2025
Brentford
1–0
Aston Villa
08 Mar 2025
Brentford
0–1
Aston Villa
04 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
3–1
Brentford
06 Apr 2024
Aston Villa
3–3
Brentford
17 Dec 2023
Brentford
1–2
Aston Villa
22 Apr 2023
Brentford
1–1
Aston Villa
23 Oct 2022
Aston Villa
4–0
Brentford
02 Jan 2022
Brentford
2–1
Aston Villa
News
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bbc · 04 Nov
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Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check
guardian · 03 Nov
Aston Villa drop threat of legal action against Jamie Carragher after apology
guardian · 02 Nov
Football Daily | Aston Villa, ‘unacceptable insults’ and thin-skinned clutching of pearls
guardian · 02 Nov
Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live
guardian · 01 Nov
Thiago on target as Brentford beat Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
Zion Suzuki horror own goal haunts Aston Villa to hand Fulham a point
guardian · 31 Oct