Premier League
· Round 5 · Fri 18 Sep, 19:00
Pre-match prediction
43%
26%
31%
Brentford 43%
Draw 26%
31% Chelsea
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.54
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
66%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
2-2 7%
2-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Brentford
43% vs 37%
Draw
26% vs 26%
Chelsea
31% vs 37%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
C
Chelsea
3-4-2-1
1
Martínez GK
1642
3
Fofana CB
6.6
1501
5
Lacroix CB
6.2
1529
6
Colwill CB
6.1
1579
4
Barco CDM
6.3
1494
7
Neto CDM
6.0
1563
10
Palmer CDM
6.5
1600
14
Henderson CDM
6.7
1483
17
Rogers CAM
6.8
1536
29
Chavarría CAM
6.3
1505
18
Welbeck ST
6.4
1472
1
Kelleher GK
7.4
1532
20
Ajer LB
6.7
1495
23
Lewis-Potter CB
6.1
1486
33
Kayode CB
6.3
1615
44
Schuster RB
1A
7.2
1515
6
Yarmolyuk CDM
6.7
1513
7
Schade CDM
6.3
1594
19
Anthony LW
7.8
1531
24
Damsgaard CAM
6.8
1550
27
Janelt RW
6.5
1561
9
Thiago ST
7.5
1577
B
Brentford
4-2-3-1
Brentford · Bench
A. Hickey, R. Henry, D. Ouattara, C. Wilson, Fábio Carvalho, M. Sangaré, E. Diouf, E. Balcombe, B. Fredrick
Chelsea · Bench
J. Bynoe-Gittens, J. Hato, Geovany Tcherno Quenda, M. Gusto, M. Nicoll-Jazuli, Joshua Kofi Acheampong, M. Penders, Estêvão, R. Lavia
Brentford · last 5
Head-to-head
18 Sep 2026
Brentford
3–0
Chelsea
17 Jan 2026
Chelsea
2–0
Brentford
13 Sep 2025
Brentford
2–2
Chelsea
06 Apr 2025
Brentford
0–0
Chelsea
15 Dec 2024
Chelsea
2–1
Brentford
02 Mar 2024
Brentford
2–2
Chelsea
28 Oct 2023
Chelsea
0–2
Brentford
26 Apr 2023
Chelsea
0–2
Brentford
19 Oct 2022
Brentford
0–0
Chelsea
02 Apr 2022
Chelsea
1–4
Brentford
News
How Carpenter has become Chelsea's surprise star
bbc · 04 Nov
Chelsea put six past Charlton to top WSL
bbc · 01 Nov
Chelsea beat 10-man Man Utd to pile more pressure on Carrick
bbc · 31 Oct
Thiago on target as Brentford beat Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
Manchester United’s capitulation at Chelsea paints picture of a club that barely exists | Barney Ronay
guardian · 31 Oct
Keith Andrews - post-match interview - Brentford v Nottingham Forest
bbc · 31 Oct
‘I’m not here to be liked’: Glasner defiant as Brentford capitalise on Forest woes
guardian · 31 Oct
Returning Estevao brings X-factor to strikerless Chelsea
bbc · 31 Oct