Premier League
· Round 6 · Sun 11 Oct, 15:30
Pre-match prediction
32%
27%
41%
Liverpool 32%
Draw 27%
41% Manchester City
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.64
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 13%
1-2 9%
2-1 7%
0-1 7%
0-2 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Liverpool
32% vs 28%
Draw
27% vs 26%
Manchester City
41% vs 46%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
MC
Manchester City
4-2-3-1
1
Donnarumma GK
8.1
1664
3
Dias LB
7.7
2038
6
Guéhi CB
7.4
1636
27
Nunes CB
7.0
1718
33
O'Reilly RB
6.5
1711
5
Anderson CDM
1A
7.7
1518
7
Ndiaye CDM
1501
10
Cherki LW
8.2
1594
17
Fernández CAM
1460
42
Semenyo RW
7.2
1625
9
Haaland ST
7.5
1794
1
Becker GK
5.5
1845
4
van Dijk LB
5.7
1932
5
Jacquet CB
6.5
1508
6
Kerkez CB
6.0
1494
33
Araújo RB
5.8
1510
7
Wirtz CDM
6.2
1506
10
Allister CDM
6.7
1626
23
Muñoz LW
6.2
1494
29
Barcola CAM
1497
38
Gravenberch RW
6.0
1590
67
Koumas ST
6.3
1488
L
Liverpool
4-2-3-1
Liverpool · Bench
J. Gomez, W. Endo, F. Chiesa, K. Tsimikas, G. Mamardashvili, J. Frimpong, T. Nyoni, J. McConnell, R. Ngumoha
Manchester City · Bench
M. Kovačić, J. Doku, Vitor Nunes, J. Gvardiol, G. Rulli, A. Bouaddi, Allan, A. Khusanov, R. Lewis
Liverpool · last 5 B
Manchester City · last 5 C
Head-to-head
11 Oct 2026
Liverpool
0–3
Manchester City
08 Feb 2026
Liverpool
1–2
Manchester City
09 Nov 2025
Manchester City
3–0
Liverpool
23 Feb 2025
Manchester City
0–2
Liverpool
01 Dec 2024
Liverpool
2–0
Manchester City
10 Mar 2024
Liverpool
1–1
Manchester City
25 Nov 2023
Manchester City
1–1
Liverpool
01 Apr 2023
Manchester City
4–1
Liverpool
16 Oct 2022
Liverpool
1–0
Manchester City
10 Apr 2022
Manchester City
2–2
Liverpool
News
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espn · 05 Nov
Fenerbahce boss Kuyt: Win vs. Liverpool 'another miracle in Istanbul'
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Another 'miracle' in Istanbul - but this one hurt Liverpool
bbc · 05 Nov
Why Iraola's Liverpool are still a work in progress
bbc · 04 Nov
Champions League: Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal, RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City and more – as it happened
guardian · 04 Nov
Erling Haaland settles thriller for Manchester City to end RB Leipzig resistance
guardian · 04 Nov
Liverpool crumble at Kuyt's Fenerbahce
bbc · 04 Nov