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Premier League · Round 6 · Sun 11 Oct, 15:30

Liverpool
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

30%
28%
43%
Liverpool 30% Draw 28% 43% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.21 – 1.64
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-2 9% 0-1 8% 0-2 8% 0-0 7%

Liverpool · last 5 C

Fulham (H) 0-0 D Athletic Bilbao (H) 2-1 W Atletico Madrid (H) 2-1 W Ipswich (A) 0-2 W Nottingham Forest (H) 2-2 D

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

08 Feb 2026 Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City 09 Nov 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool 23 Feb 2025 Manchester City 0–2 Liverpool 01 Dec 2024 Liverpool 2–0 Manchester City 10 Mar 2024 Liverpool 1–1 Manchester City 25 Nov 2023 Manchester City 1–1 Liverpool 01 Apr 2023 Manchester City 4–1 Liverpool 16 Oct 2022 Liverpool 1–0 Manchester City 10 Apr 2022 Manchester City 2–2 Liverpool 03 Oct 2021 Liverpool 2–2 Manchester City

News

Moving from Newcastle to Liverpool easy decision - Isak bbc · 18 Sep Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Lewis Koumas on playing ‘the Liverpool way’, showing hunger and hopes for the future guardian · 16 Sep Szoboszlai screamer seals Liverpool’s progress as De Zerbi’s Spurs woes grow guardian · 15 Sep Spurs' Richarlison posts crying emoji after being left out of Liverpool tie bbc · 15 Sep Andoni Iraola tells Liverpool forwards they must do more to make his system work guardian · 14 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep