Premier League
· Round 5 · Sun 20 Sep, 13:00
Pre-match prediction
38%
27%
35%
Bournemouth 38%
Draw 27%
35% Liverpool
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.51
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
62%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 8%
1-2 8%
2-2 6%
0-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Bournemouth
38% vs 30%
Draw
27% vs 26%
Liverpool
35% vs 44%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Liverpool
4-2-3-1
1
Becker GK
7.1
1845
4
van Dijk LB
7.3
1932
5
Jacquet CB
7.1
1508
6
Kerkez CB
6.3
1494
33
Araújo RB
6.6
1510
7
Wirtz CDM
6.6
1506
8
Szoboszlai CDM
6.5
1593
10
Allister LW
6.5
1626
18
Gakpo CAM
6.8
1571
29
Barcola RW
1497
9
Isak ST
1
Petrović GK
6.3
1571
3
Truffert LB
6.2
1582
5
Hill CB
6.6
1604
14
Silva CB
6.7
1506
15
Smith RB
5.9
1543
8
Scott CDM
6.5
1583
10
Christie CDM
6.0
1578
12
Adams LW
6.5
1574
16
Tavernier CAM
6.2
1558
37
Rayan RW
6.4
1558
9
Evanilson ST
6.3
1610
B
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1
Bournemouth · Bench
L. Cook, J. Soler, D. Brooks, B. Doak, B. Diakité, M. Di Gregorio, Juanlu Sánchez, A. Tóth, D. Jebbison
Liverpool · Bench
J. Gomez, K. Tsimikas, Víctor Muñoz, G. Mamardashvili, J. Frimpong, R. Gravenberch, T. Nyoni, L. Koumas, R. Ngumoha
Bournemouth · last 5 C
Head-to-head
20 Sep 2026
Bournemouth
0–1
Liverpool
24 Jan 2026
Bournemouth
3–2
Liverpool
15 Aug 2025
Liverpool
4–2
Bournemouth
01 Feb 2025
Bournemouth
0–2
Liverpool
21 Sep 2024
Liverpool
3–0
Bournemouth
21 Jan 2024
Bournemouth
0–4
Liverpool
19 Aug 2023
Liverpool
3–1
Bournemouth
11 Mar 2023
Bournemouth
1–0
Liverpool
27 Aug 2022
Liverpool
9–0
Bournemouth
07 Mar 2020
Liverpool
2–1
Bournemouth
News
Fenerbahce thwart Liverpool and Arsenal pushed in Prague: Football Weekly – podcast
guardian · 05 Nov
Iraola bemoans 'cheap, messy goals' in Liverpool loss at Fenerbahce
espn · 05 Nov
Fenerbahce boss Kuyt: Win vs. Liverpool 'another miracle in Istanbul'
espn · 05 Nov
Another 'miracle' in Istanbul - but this one hurt Liverpool
bbc · 05 Nov
Why Iraola's Liverpool are still a work in progress
bbc · 04 Nov
Liverpool crumble at Kuyt's Fenerbahce
bbc · 04 Nov
Fenerbahce 3-2 Liverpool: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 04 Nov
Muriqi caps Fenerbahce comeback to make Liverpool pay for defensive lapses
guardian · 04 Nov