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Premier League · Round 22 · Sat 23 Jan, 15:00

Brighton & Hove Albion
vs
Manchester City

Prediction

27%
27%
46%
Brighton & Hove Albion 27% Draw 27% 46% Manchester City

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.18 – 1.65
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
58%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-2 9% 0-1 8% 0-2 8% 0-0 8%

Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5

Coventry (A) 0-5 W Leeds (H) 1-1 D Chelsea (A) 4-3 L Aston Villa (H) 4-0 W Manchester United (H) 0-3 L

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

07 Jan 2026 Manchester City 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion 31 Aug 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City 15 Mar 2025 Manchester City 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion 09 Nov 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Manchester City 25 Apr 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–4 Manchester City 21 Oct 2023 Manchester City 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion 24 May 2023 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Manchester City 22 Oct 2022 Manchester City 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion 20 Apr 2022 Manchester City 3–0 Brighton & Hove Albion 23 Oct 2021 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–4 Manchester City

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep Manchester City recover from Foden red card as Haaland wins derby at United guardian · 13 Sep All change for Maresca: the data behind Manchester City’s rapid player turnover guardian · 12 Sep Chelsea hand Pedro Neto new deal in wake of his rejecting Manchester City guardian · 11 Sep Haaland strikes twice as Manchester City secure win at Porto bbc · 09 Sep Rosario ‘grabbed my bottom’ during Manchester City’s win at Porto, claims Haaland guardian · 09 Sep