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Premier League · Round 23 · Sat 30 Jan, 15:00

Manchester City
vs
Arsenal

Prediction

33%
32%
35%
Manchester City 33% Draw 32% 35% Arsenal

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.06 – 1.06
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams to score
45%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 15% 0-0 14% 0-1 11% 1-0 11% 1-2 7%

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Arsenal · last 5 C

Sunderland (A) 0-2 W Napoli (A) 0-1 W Chelsea (H) 2-1 W Aston Villa (A) 0-1 W Coventry (H) 3-0 W

Head-to-head

19 Apr 2026 Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal 21 Sep 2025 Arsenal 1–1 Manchester City 02 Feb 2025 Arsenal 5–1 Manchester City 22 Sep 2024 Manchester City 2–2 Arsenal 31 Mar 2024 Manchester City 0–0 Arsenal 08 Oct 2023 Arsenal 1–0 Manchester City 26 Apr 2023 Manchester City 4–1 Arsenal 15 Feb 2023 Arsenal 1–3 Manchester City 01 Jan 2022 Arsenal 1–2 Manchester City 28 Aug 2021 Manchester City 5–0 Arsenal

News

Junior Kroupi on Arsenal radar - Friday's gossip bbc · 17 Sep Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep League Two Fleetwood host Arsenal in EFL Cup bbc · 16 Sep Arsenal rejected Dowman loan offers - Thursday's gossip bbc · 16 Sep ‘They are very similar’: Arsenal’s Dowman reminds Merino of Lamine Yamal guardian · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep 'Superstar' Dowman shows his class - but Arsenal know caution is needed bbc · 15 Sep Max Dowman doubles up for Arsenal’s back-ups to beat Ipswich in Carabao Cup guardian · 15 Sep