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Premier League · Round 28 · Wed 03 Mar, 20:00

Liverpool
vs
Aston Villa

Prediction

49%
26%
25%
Liverpool 49% Draw 26% 25% Aston Villa

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.84 – 1.21
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
61%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-1 10% 2-0 8% 1-0 7% 1-2 6%

Liverpool · last 5 C

Fulham (H) 0-0 D Athletic Bilbao (H) 2-1 W Atletico Madrid (H) 2-1 W Ipswich (A) 0-2 W Nottingham Forest (H) 2-2 D

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W Hull (A) 0-0 D Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 4-0 L

Head-to-head

15 May 2026 Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool 01 Nov 2025 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa 19 Feb 2025 Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool 09 Nov 2024 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa 13 May 2024 Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool 03 Sep 2023 Liverpool 3–0 Aston Villa 20 May 2023 Liverpool 1–1 Aston Villa 26 Dec 2022 Aston Villa 1–3 Liverpool 10 May 2022 Aston Villa 1–2 Liverpool 11 Dec 2021 Liverpool 1–0 Aston Villa

News

Moving from Newcastle to Liverpool easy decision - Isak bbc · 18 Sep How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer bbc · 17 Sep Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry guardian · 16 Sep Lewis Koumas on playing ‘the Liverpool way’, showing hunger and hopes for the future guardian · 16 Sep Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts guardian · 16 Sep Szoboszlai screamer seals Liverpool’s progress as De Zerbi’s Spurs woes grow guardian · 15 Sep Spurs' Richarlison posts crying emoji after being left out of Liverpool tie bbc · 15 Sep Andoni Iraola tells Liverpool forwards they must do more to make his system work guardian · 14 Sep