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Premier League · Round 37 · Sun 23 May, 14:00

Manchester City
vs
Aston Villa

Prediction

60%
24%
16%
Manchester City 60% Draw 24% 16% Aston Villa

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.05 – 0.85
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
51%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-0 12% 1-1 11% 1-0 10% 2-1 10% 3-0 8%

Manchester City · last 5 D

Manchester United (A) 0-1 W Porto (A) 0-2 W Coventry (H) 1-0 W Crystal Palace (A) 1-4 W Bournemouth (H) 2-1 W

Aston Villa · last 5 A

Nottingham Forest (H) 1-2 L Club Brugge KV (A) 2-3 W Hull (A) 0-0 D Arsenal (H) 0-1 L Brighton & Hove Albion (A) 4-0 L

Head-to-head

24 May 2026 Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa 26 Oct 2025 Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City 22 Apr 2025 Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa 21 Dec 2024 Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City 03 Apr 2024 Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa 06 Dec 2023 Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City 12 Feb 2023 Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa 03 Sep 2022 Aston Villa 1–1 Manchester City 22 May 2022 Manchester City 3–2 Aston Villa 01 Dec 2021 Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester City

News

Floyd Samba’s debut double lifts Manchester City to Carabao Cup win over Norwich guardian · 17 Sep How an Aston Villa fringe player became Europe's most prolific scorer bbc · 17 Sep Tammy Abraham’s double powers Aston Villa to Carabao Cup win at Coventry guardian · 16 Sep Maresca says Manchester City still waiting for apology after disputed 2023 derby goal guardian · 16 Sep Why Coventry, Tottenham and Aston Villa should not panic about their slow starts guardian · 16 Sep Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City: Premier League – as it happened guardian · 13 Sep Manchester City recover from Foden red card as Haaland wins derby at United guardian · 13 Sep Emery takes responsibility as Forest strike late at winless Aston Villa guardian · 12 Sep