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Premier League · Round 38 · Sun 30 May, 15:00

Arsenal
vs
Brighton & Hove Albion

Prediction

63%
23%
13%
Arsenal 63% Draw 23% 13% Brighton & Hove Albion

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.77 – 0.79
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
47%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 2-0 12% 1-0 12% 2-1 10% 0-0 9%

Arsenal · last 5 C

Sunderland (A) 0-2 W Napoli (A) 0-1 W Chelsea (H) 2-1 W Aston Villa (A) 0-1 W Coventry (H) 3-0 W

Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5

Coventry (A) 0-5 W Leeds (H) 1-1 D Chelsea (A) 4-3 L Aston Villa (H) 4-0 W Manchester United (H) 0-3 L

Head-to-head

04 Mar 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal 27 Dec 2025 Arsenal 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion 04 Jan 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Arsenal 31 Aug 2024 Arsenal 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion 06 Apr 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Arsenal 17 Dec 2023 Arsenal 2–0 Brighton & Hove Albion 14 May 2023 Arsenal 0–3 Brighton & Hove Albion 31 Dec 2022 Brighton & Hove Albion 2–4 Arsenal 09 Apr 2022 Arsenal 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion 02 Oct 2021 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–0 Arsenal

News

Junior Kroupi on Arsenal radar - Friday's gossip bbc · 17 Sep League Two Fleetwood host Arsenal in EFL Cup bbc · 16 Sep Arsenal rejected Dowman loan offers - Thursday's gossip bbc · 16 Sep ‘They are very similar’: Arsenal’s Dowman reminds Merino of Lamine Yamal guardian · 16 Sep 'Superstar' Dowman shows his class - but Arsenal know caution is needed bbc · 15 Sep Max Dowman doubles up for Arsenal’s back-ups to beat Ipswich in Carabao Cup guardian · 15 Sep Chelsea’s five-star showing and Arsenal frustrated at home – Women’s Football Weekly podcast guardian · 15 Sep VAR controversy decides Manchester derby as City keep pace with Arsenal: Football Weekly – podcast guardian · 14 Sep