Premier League
· Round 5 · Sat 19 Sep, 14:00
Pre-match prediction
21%
28%
51%
Brighton & Hove Albion 21%
Draw 28%
51% Arsenal
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.51
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
49%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
1-1 14%
0-1 11%
0-0 10%
0-2 10%
1-2 9%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Brighton & Hove Albion
21% vs 19%
Draw
28% vs 25%
Arsenal
51% vs 56%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
A
Arsenal
4-2-3-1
1
Raya GK
5.5
1776
6
Magalhães LB
6.1
1958
12
Timber CB
6.7
1648
15
Konsa CB
6.4
1506
33
Calafiori RB
6.0
1625
7
Saka CDM
6.3
1848
8
Ødegaard CDM
6.2
1896
17
Tzolis LW
6.2
1516
39
Guimarães CAM
5.9
1517
41
Rice RW
6.5
1777
29
Havertz ST
6.3
1694
1
Verbruggen GK
6.7
1628
4
Struijk LB
7.1
1539
21
Boscagli CB
7.0
1557
24
Kadıoğlu CB
7.3
1585
44
Vušković RB
7.2
1580
13
Groß CDM
1A
9.0
1580
14
Baixauli CDM
1504
25
Gómez LW
1A
7.0
1628
26
Ayari CAM
6.7
1695
29
Cuyper RW
6.4
1556
19
Kostoulas ST
1A
8.2
1537
B&
Brighton & Hove Albion
4-2-3-1
Brighton & Hove Albion · Bench
J. Hadjam, G. Rutter, P. David, I. Osman, Costinha, J. Steele, M. Svoboda, M. O'Riley, M. Yalcouyé
Arsenal · Bench
P. Hincapié, E. Eze, Kepa, V. Gyökeres, N. Madueke, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, M. Lewis-Skelly, M. Dowman
Brighton & Hove Albion · last 5
Arsenal · last 5 C
Head-to-head
19 Sep 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
3–0
Arsenal
04 Mar 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–1
Arsenal
27 Dec 2025
Arsenal
2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
04 Jan 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
1–1
Arsenal
31 Aug 2024
Arsenal
1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion
06 Apr 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–3
Arsenal
17 Dec 2023
Arsenal
2–0
Brighton & Hove Albion
14 May 2023
Arsenal
0–3
Brighton & Hove Albion
31 Dec 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
2–4
Arsenal
09 Apr 2022
Arsenal
1–2
Brighton & Hove Albion
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