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La Liga · Round 4 · Sat 05 Sep, 16:30

Rayo Vallecano
3–2
Full time
RS Racing Santander

Pre-match prediction

53%
24%
24%
Rayo Vallecano 53% Draw 24% 24% Racing Santander

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals
1.85 – 1.14
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Both teams to score
57%
Model confidence
low

Most likely scorelines

1-1 10% 2-1 10% 1-0 9% 2-0 9% 1-2 6%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Rayo Vallecano
53% vs 48%
Draw
24% vs 26%
Racing Santander
24% vs 26%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

RS Racing Santander 4-2-3-1
13
Agirrezabala GK
6.8 1489
2
Mantilla LB
5.3 1493
4
Hernando CB
6.0 1493
16
González CB
6.1 1501
17
Salinas RB
5.9 1489
18
Prati CM
1430
20
Canales CM
Goal 8.0 1499
23
Martín CM
1545
10
Vicente LW
5.9 1487
15
García ST
1511
21
Zabiri RW
6.4 1495
1
Cárdenas GK
5.8 1518
2
Rațiu CB
Goal 6.6 1547
17
Pedrosa CB
1370
24
Lejeune CB
6.0 1438
4
Díaz LM
6.3 1481
6
Ciss CM
7.2 1399
8
López CM
2A 8.1 1535
18
García CM
6.5 1246
23
Valentín RM
6.3 1511
10
Camello ST
Goal2 1A 9.5 1510
19
de Frutos ST
6.4 1568
Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3

Rayo Vallecano · Bench

Alemão, R. Nteka, G. Tsitaishvili, Mujaid Sadick, I. Balliu, Fran Pérez, Pelayo Fernández, E. Audero, Marco de las Sías, G. Bouare, Rayane Belid

Racing Santander · Bench

S. Eriksson, Aarón Martín, Pablo Ramón, Íñigo Sainz-Maza, G. Guliashvili, André Almeida, Juan Carlos Arana, Asier Villalibre, M. Gueye, Pedro Felipe, J. Belocian, H. Perez

Rayo Vallecano · last 5

Barcelona (A) 5-2 L Deportivo Alaves (H) 1-1 D Sevilla (A) 2-1 L Deportivo Alaves (A) 1-2 W Villarreal (H) 2-0 W

Racing Santander · last 5

Elche (H) 3-2 W Getafe (A) 1-0 L Villarreal (H) 2-2 D

Head-to-head

05 Sep 2026 Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing Santander

News

Grounded: Rayo Vallecano’s paper planes bring club’s crisis into the open guardian · 12 Oct