La Liga
· Round 4 · Sun 06 Sep, 14:15
Pre-match prediction
15%
20%
65%
Valencia 15%
Draw 20%
65% Barcelona
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
0.94 – 2.04
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
53%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
0-2 11%
0-1 10%
1-2 10%
1-1 10%
0-3 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Valencia
15% vs 9%
Draw
20% vs 15%
Barcelona
65% vs 76%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
B
Barcelona
4-2-3-1
1
García GK
7.5
1711
5
Paredes LB
6.8
1808
12
Espart CB
7.0
1539
18
Martín CB
7.4
1670
24
García RB
7.2
1798
7
Fermín CDM
2A
9.6
1702
8
Pedri CDM
8.2
1976
10
Yamal LW
2
9.1
1889
16
Rodri CAM
7.1
1522
17
Gordon RW
1A
7.3
1528
11
Raphinha ST
7.6
1845
1
Dimitrievski GK
6.6
1520
4
Diakhaby LWB
5.6
1432
18
Pepelu CB
5.7
1401
21
Vázquez CB
5.5
1452
22
Martínez CB
1472
24
Maffeo RWB
5.4
1479
15
Dieng CM
6.2
1474
23
Ugrinic CM
5.9
1498
27
Otorbi CM
5.8
1478
7
Danjuma ST
6.2
1467
8
Guerra ST
5.7
1483
V
Valencia
5-3-2
Valencia · Bench
César Tárrega, Hugo Duro, H. Elliott, José Gayà, Dani Raba, K. van Oevelen, Aaron Mayol, Iker Córdoba, Aimar Blázquez, J. Dura, R. Sato
Barcelona · Bench
João Cancelo, Alejandro Balde, Gavi, Gabriel Jesus, W. Szczęsny, K. Adeyemi, A. Christensen, Dani Olmo, Marc Bernal, J. Koundé, D. Livaković, H. Abdelkarim
Valencia · last 5
Head-to-head
06 Sep 2026
Valencia
0–5
Barcelona
23 May 2026
Valencia
3–1
Barcelona
14 Sep 2025
Barcelona
6–0
Valencia
26 Jan 2025
Barcelona
7–1
Valencia
17 Aug 2024
Valencia
1–2
Barcelona
29 Apr 2024
Barcelona
4–2
Valencia
16 Dec 2023
Valencia
1–1
Barcelona
05 Mar 2023
Barcelona
1–0
Valencia
29 Oct 2022
Valencia
0–1
Barcelona
20 Feb 2022
Valencia
1–4
Barcelona
News
Carlos Espí gives Real Madrid hope in the face of Barcelona’s La Liga storm | Sid Lowe
guardian · 17 Sep
Raphinha hat-trick as Barcelona hit seven past Racing Santander
bbc · 17 Sep
Barcelona monitor Kane & Haaland - Wednesday's gossip
bbc · 15 Sep
Kane on target, Barcelona stay perfect and Ballon d’Or debate | Football Weekly – video
guardian · 15 Sep
Kane on target, Barcelona stay perfect and Ballon d’Or debate – Football Weekly
guardian · 15 Sep
‘Very weak. Very bad’: how Rodri’s verdict exposed woeful Valencia’s crisis | Sid Lowe
guardian · 14 Sep
Barca's Rodri apologises over Valencia 'weak' comments
bbc · 10 Sep
Champions League roundup: Raphinha shines as Barcelona thrash Feyenoord
guardian · 09 Sep