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La Liga · Round 15 · Sun 06 Dec, 00:00

Athletic Bilbao
vs
Real Madrid

Prediction

21%
24%
55%
Athletic Bilbao 21% Draw 24% 55% Real Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.01 – 1.68
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 12% 0-1 11% 1-2 10% 0-2 10% 0-0 7%

Athletic Bilbao · last 5 C

Bayern Munich (H) 0-2 L Real Sociedad (H) 2-1 W Getafe (H) 4-0 W Levante (A) 3-1 L VfB Stuttgart (A) 1-1 D

Real Madrid · last 5 B

AEK Athens FC (A) 2-3 W Racing Santander (A) 0-3 W Barcelona (A) 1-2 W Barcelona (A) 1-2 W RB Leipzig (H) 4-1 W

Head-to-head

23 May 2026 Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao 03 Dec 2025 Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid 20 Apr 2025 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao 04 Dec 2024 Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Madrid 31 Mar 2024 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Bilbao 12 Aug 2023 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid 04 Jun 2023 Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Bilbao 22 Jan 2023 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid 22 Dec 2021 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Real Madrid 01 Dec 2021 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao

News

Champions League: Como clobber Lens 9-1 after Real Madrid roar back to deny AEK Athens guardian · 04 Nov Nadal set to join Real Madrid board of directors bbc · 04 Nov Real Madrid reach verbal agreement to sign Gabriel bbc · 04 Nov European football: Mbappé penalty helps Real Madrid stroll to sixth straight win guardian · 01 Nov Bellingham & Mbappe score as Real Madrid earn statement win bbc · 01 Nov Mourinho and chaos - is Real Madrid boss misunderstood? bbc · 29 Oct Mourinho’s plan comes together as Real Madrid relaunch with clásico statement | Sid Lowe guardian · 26 Oct Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid: El Clásico – as it happened guardian · 25 Oct