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La Liga · Round 15 · Sun 06 Dec, 00:00

Athletic Bilbao
vs
Real Madrid

Prediction

23%
23%
54%
Athletic Bilbao 23% Draw 23% 54% Real Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.15 – 1.76
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
56%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 11% 0-1 10% 1-2 10% 0-2 8% 1-0 6%

Athletic Bilbao · last 5 C

Elche (H) 1-1 D Liverpool (A) 2-1 L Atletico Madrid (H) 3-0 W Celta Vigo (A) 0-2 W Barcelona (A) 2-0 L

Real Madrid · last 5 D

Elche (A) 2-3 W Elche (A) 2-3 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Rayo Vallecano (H) 4-1 W Inter Milan (H) 2-1 W

Head-to-head

23 May 2026 Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao 03 Dec 2025 Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid 20 Apr 2025 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao 04 Dec 2024 Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Madrid 31 Mar 2024 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Bilbao 12 Aug 2023 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid 04 Jun 2023 Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Bilbao 22 Jan 2023 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid 22 Dec 2021 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Real Madrid 01 Dec 2021 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao

News

Carlos Espí gives Real Madrid hope in the face of Barcelona’s La Liga storm | Sid Lowe guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid leading race to sign JJ Gabriel from Manchester United guardian · 17 Sep Real Madrid keen on Man Utd forward Gabriel, 15 bbc · 17 Sep Chelsea and Real Madrid keen on Arsenal's Zubimendi - Friday's gossip bbc · 10 Sep Mbappe and Valverde strike as Real Madrid edge Inter Milan bbc · 09 Sep Real Madrid 2-1 Inter, Millwall 0-1 Newcastle: Champions League and Carabao Cup – as it happened guardian · 08 Sep Real Madrid somehow cling on to beat Inter on José Mourinho’s big night guardian · 08 Sep Mourinho, Inter and Champions League: Can he deliver again at Real Madrid? bbc · 08 Sep