La Liga
· Round 10 · Sun 25 Oct, 20:00
Pre-match prediction
56%
22%
22%
Barcelona 56%
Draw 22%
22% Real Madrid
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
Expected goals
2.31 – 1.36
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Both teams to score
68%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
2-1 9%
1-1 9%
3-1 7%
2-0 7%
2-2 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Barcelona
56% vs 60%
Draw
22% vs 17%
Real Madrid
22% vs 24%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
RM
Real Madrid
4-4-2
13
Lunin GK
7.8
1612
4
Huijsen LB
6.6
1616
8
Valverde CB
7.1
2001
16
Konaté CB
7.0
1537
17
Cucurella RB
6.6
1559
5
Bellingham LM
6.9
1688
14
Tchouaméni CM
6.5
1746
15
Güler CM
7.2
1633
20
Silva RM
6.5
1530
10
Mbappé ST
25
Diomande ST
6.3
1534
1
García GK
6.8
1719
2
Cancelo LB
7.3
1595
5
Paredes CB
6.5
1821
12
Espart CB
6.5
1552
18
Martín RB
6.3
1670
7
Fermín CM
6.3
1713
8
Pedri CM
1A
7.6
1987
16
Rodri CM
6.6
1538
10
Yamal LW
6.2
1902
11
Raphinha ST
17
Gordon RW
6.7
1532
B
Barcelona
4-3-3
Barcelona · Bench
Alejandro Balde, B. Farinas, Gavi, Gabriel Jesus, W. Szczęsny, K. Adeyemi, F. de Jong, Marc Bernal, D. Livaković, H. Abdelkarim, O. Goren, A. Campos
Real Madrid · Bench
Éder Militão, E. Camavinga, Endrick, T. Alexander-Arnold, Álvaro Fernández, Carlos Espí, Brahim Díaz, A. Rüdiger, D. Dumfries, Sergio Mestre, Thiago Pitarch, I. Voloshyn
Barcelona · last 5 E
Real Madrid · last 5 A
Head-to-head
25 Oct 2026
Barcelona
1–2
Real Madrid
25 Oct 2026
Barcelona
1–2
Real Madrid
10 May 2026
Barcelona
2–0
Real Madrid
26 Oct 2025
Real Madrid
2–1
Barcelona
11 May 2025
Barcelona
4–3
Real Madrid
26 Oct 2024
Real Madrid
0–4
Barcelona
21 Apr 2024
Real Madrid
3–2
Barcelona
28 Oct 2023
Barcelona
1–2
Real Madrid
19 Mar 2023
Barcelona
2–1
Real Madrid
16 Oct 2022
Real Madrid
3–1
Barcelona
News
Raphinha signs new Barcelona contract to 2030
espn · 05 Nov
Champions League: Como clobber Lens 9-1 after Real Madrid roar back to deny AEK Athens
guardian · 04 Nov
Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa
bbc · 04 Nov
Nadal set to join Real Madrid board of directors
bbc · 04 Nov
Real Madrid reach verbal agreement to sign Gabriel
bbc · 04 Nov
Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened
guardian · 03 Nov
Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check
guardian · 03 Nov
European football: Mbappé penalty helps Real Madrid stroll to sixth straight win
guardian · 01 Nov