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La Liga · Round 23 · Sun 07 Feb, 00:00

Barcelona
vs
Atletico Madrid

Prediction

60%
21%
19%
Barcelona 60% Draw 21% 19% Atletico Madrid

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.19 – 1.22
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Both teams to score
63%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-1 10% 1-1 9% 2-0 8% 3-1 7% 1-0 7%

Barcelona · last 5 E

Aston Villa (H) 3-0 W Deportivo Alaves (H) 6-1 W Deportivo Alaves (H) 6-1 W Real Madrid (H) 1-2 L Real Madrid (H) 1-2 L

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Bayern Munich (H) 0-2 L Levante (A) 0-2 W Levante (A) 0-2 W Deportivo La Coruna (H) 1-0 W VfB Stuttgart (A) 1-1 D

Head-to-head

04 Apr 2026 Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona 02 Dec 2025 Barcelona 3–1 Atletico Madrid 16 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 2–4 Barcelona 21 Dec 2024 Barcelona 1–2 Atletico Madrid 17 Mar 2024 Atletico Madrid 0–3 Barcelona 03 Dec 2023 Barcelona 1–0 Atletico Madrid 23 Apr 2023 Barcelona 1–0 Atletico Madrid 08 Jan 2023 Atletico Madrid 0–1 Barcelona 06 Feb 2022 Barcelona 4–2 Atletico Madrid 02 Oct 2021 Atletico Madrid 2–0 Barcelona

News

Raphinha signs new Barcelona contract to 2030 espn · 05 Nov Raphinha scores twice as Barcelona beat Aston Villa bbc · 04 Nov Lennart Karl steals in behind Atlético Madrid to inspire Bayern Munich win guardian · 03 Nov Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa: Champions League – as it happened guardian · 03 Nov Raphinha underlines Barcelona’s class to give Aston Villa a reality check guardian · 03 Nov Man Utd eye Barcelona's Balde - Monday's gossip bbc · 01 Nov Man Utd target Barcelona's Lopez - Saturday's gossip bbc · 30 Oct Barcelona fined £503 over their approach for Atlético Madrid star Álvarez guardian · 27 Oct