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La Liga · Round 37 · Sun 23 May, 00:00

Atletico Madrid
vs
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction

62%
21%
17%
Atletico Madrid 62% Draw 21% 17% Athletic Bilbao

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
1.93 – 0.92
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
51%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-0 11% 2-0 11% 1-1 10% 2-1 10% 3-0 7%

Atletico Madrid · last 5 D

Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Osasuna (H) 4-0 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Real Sociedad (A) 0-3 W Liverpool (A) 2-1 L

Athletic Bilbao · last 5 C

Elche (H) 1-1 D Liverpool (A) 2-1 L Atletico Madrid (H) 3-0 W Celta Vigo (A) 0-2 W Barcelona (A) 2-0 L

Head-to-head

05 Sep 2026 Athletic Bilbao 3–0 Atletico Madrid 25 Apr 2026 Atletico Madrid 3–2 Athletic Bilbao 06 Dec 2025 Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Atletico Madrid 01 Mar 2025 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao 31 Aug 2024 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Atletico Madrid 27 Apr 2024 Atletico Madrid 3–1 Athletic Bilbao 16 Dec 2023 Athletic Bilbao 2–0 Atletico Madrid 19 Feb 2023 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao 15 Oct 2022 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Atletico Madrid 30 Apr 2022 Athletic Bilbao 2–0 Atletico Madrid

News

Chelsea 6-3 Leeds; Liverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid, PSG 6-1 Slovan Bratislava – as it happened guardian · 09 Sep Liverpool come from behind to beat Atletico Madrid bbc · 09 Sep Atlético Madrid chief insists Julián Alvarez will ‘never, ever’ be sold to Barcelona guardian · 27 Aug Atletico Madrid’s Total 90 third kit for 2025/26 released 90min · 03 Sep