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Bundesliga · Round 2 · Sun 06 Sep, 13:30

Hamburg
0–5
Full time
Mainz

Pre-match prediction

38%
28%
34%
Hamburg 38% Draw 28% 34% Mainz

⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.

Expected goals
1.33 – 1.22
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

1-1 13% 1-0 10% 0-1 9% 2-1 8% 0-0 8%

Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)

Hamburg
38% vs 33%
Draw
28% vs 27%
Mainz
34% vs 40%

Lineups

Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.

Mainz 3-5-2
1
Schwolow GK
6.7 1452
3
Gruber CB
6.9
4
Posch CB
7.2 1523
48
Potulski CB
6.8
2
Mwene LM
Goal 1A 8.6 1560
6
Sano CM
1A 7.7
7
Jae-Sung CM
1A 7.5 1510
10
Amiri CM
6.6 1492
19
Caci RM
6.3 1531
9
Tietz ST
Goal2 9.4
23
Becker ST
Goal 2A 9.0 1469
1
Fernandes GK
5.8
23
Torunarigha CB
5.2
24
Capaldo CB
5.3
33
Bornauw CB
3
Wolfe CDM
1429
4
Nadir CDM
6.2
5
Adeline CDM
5.7
7
Ouahdi CDM
11
Grønbæk CAM
6.0
21
Remberg CAM
6.5
9
Moffi ST
Hamburg 3-4-2-1

Hamburg · Bench

S. Tangvik, Y. Poulsen, B. Jatta, Otto Emerson Stange, Fábio Vieira, Kofi Jeremy Amoako, P. Daka, L. Lemke, S. Nandja

Mainz · Bench

R. Königsdörffer, L. Maloney, S. Bell, B. Hollerbach, O. Ruoppi, D. da Costa, S. Kawasaki, M. Kinzig, R. Nakuzola

Hamburg · last 5

Borussia Dortmund (A) 2-0 L Bayer Leverkusen (A) 1-1 D Freiburg (H) 3-2 W Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 1-2 W TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (H) 1-2 L

Mainz · last 5

Paderborn (H) 0-0 D Heidenheim (A) 0-2 W Union Berlin (H) 1-3 L St Pauli (A) 1-2 W Bayern Munich (H) 3-4 L

Head-to-head

06 Sep 2026 Hamburg 0–5 Mainz 20 Feb 2026 Mainz 1–1 Hamburg 05 Oct 2025 Hamburg 4–0 Mainz

News

No recent news mentioning either team in our sources.