Bundesliga
· Round 4 · Fri 18 Sep, 18:30
Pre-match prediction
87%
Bayern Munich 87%
Draw 9%
4% Union Berlin
⏳Made before lineups were confirmed for this match.
Expected goals
3.71 – 0.75
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal
Most likely scorelines
3-0 10%
4-0 9%
2-0 8%
3-1 7%
4-1 7%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Bayern Munich
87% vs 92%
Draw
9% vs 5%
Union Berlin
4% vs 2%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
UB
Union Berlin
4-2-3-1
1
Rønnow GK
6.5
1425
2
Uduokhai LB
1501
14
Querfeld CB
6.4
1443
15
Rothe CB
5.4
1463
28
Trimmel RB
5.0
1410
8
Khedira CDM
1501
11
Woo-Yeong CDM
5.8
1464
13
Schäfer LW
5.9
1490
19
Haberer CAM
6.2
1488
20
Aebischer RW
1347
29
Lath ST
6.3
1471
1
Neuer GK
7.4
1912
2
Upamecano LB
6.5
1701
4
Tah CB
7.3
1548
19
Davies CB
2A
8.5
1836
44
Stanišić RB
6.9
1537
6
Kimmich CDM
7.2
1887
10
Musiala CDM
14
Díaz LW
6.7
1527
17
Olise CAM
45
Pavlović RW
7.1
1578
9
Kane ST
BM
Bayern Munich
4-2-3-1
Bayern Munich · Bench
Kim Min-Jae, S. Gnabry, T. Bischof, N. Brown, H. Ito, I. Saibari, Bara Ndiaye, J. Urbig, L. Karl
Union Berlin · Bench
Z. Van Den Bosch, A. Kemlein, Livan Burcu, D. Köhn, T. Skarke, R. Skov, M. LjubiÄiÄ, K. Imeri, M. Raab
Bayern Munich · last 5
Head-to-head
18 Sep 2026
Bayern Munich
7–0
Union Berlin
21 Mar 2026
Bayern Munich
4–0
Union Berlin
08 Nov 2025
Union Berlin
2–2
Bayern Munich
15 Mar 2025
Union Berlin
1–1
Bayern Munich
02 Nov 2024
Bayern Munich
3–0
Union Berlin
20 Apr 2024
Union Berlin
1–5
Bayern Munich
24 Jan 2024
Bayern Munich
1–0
Union Berlin
26 Feb 2023
Bayern Munich
3–0
Union Berlin
03 Sep 2022
Union Berlin
1–1
Bayern Munich
19 Mar 2022
Bayern Munich
4–0
Union Berlin
News
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Harry Kane’s Ballon d’Or party gives way to anxiety-filled hangover for Bayern Munich | Andy Brassell
guardian · 02 Nov
Vincent Kompany to miss ‘weeks, not days’ with virus treatment, say Bayern Munich
guardian · 24 Oct