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Bundesliga · Round 23 · Fri 26 Feb, 00:00

Borussia Dortmund
vs
Union Berlin

Prediction

73%
17%
Borussia Dortmund 73% Draw 17% 10% Union Berlin

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

Expected goals
2.48 – 0.82
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
52%
Model confidence
normal

Most likely scorelines

2-0 11% 3-0 9% 2-1 9% 1-0 9% 1-1 8%

Borussia Dortmund · last 5

Paderborn (H) 3-0 W Villarreal (H) 3-2 W TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (A) 2-3 W Hamburg (H) 2-0 W Werder Bremen (A) 0-2 W

Union Berlin · last 5

Schalke 04 (H) 1-3 L Bayer Leverkusen (A) 4-0 L Eintracht Frankfurt (H) 3-3 D Augsburg (H) 4-0 W Mainz (A) 1-3 W

Head-to-head

24 Jan 2026 Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund 31 Aug 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin 22 Feb 2025 Borussia Dortmund 6–0 Union Berlin 05 Oct 2024 Union Berlin 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 02 Mar 2024 Union Berlin 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 07 Oct 2023 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Union Berlin 08 Apr 2023 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Union Berlin 16 Oct 2022 Union Berlin 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 13 Feb 2022 Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund 19 Sep 2021 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Union Berlin

News

Borussia Dortmund to 'address' away kit controversy after fan revolt 90min · 19 Sep Borussia Dortmund debut striking neon 2025/26 away kit 90min · 16 Sep