Ligue 1
· Round 4 · Sun 13 Sep, 15:15
Pre-match prediction
33%
25%
43%
Le Mans 33%
Draw 25%
43% Lens
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.47
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
63%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
2-2 6%
1-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Le Mans
33% vs 20%
Draw
25% vs 22%
Lens
43% vs 58%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Lens
3-4-2-1
40
Risser GK
6.5
22
Skóraś CB
6.1
24
Gradit CB
32
Antonio CB
6.6
2
Aguilar CDM
1A
7.7
5
Bulatović CDM
6.8
10
Thauvin CDM
6.7
14
Udol CDM
6.0
19
Sima CAM
7.3
27
Cuisance CAM
5.7
11
Édouard ST
6.9
1
Hatfout GK
6.9
5
Voyer CB
6.6
15
Boissé CB
6.1
17
Yohou CB
7.0
10
Vercruysse CDM
6.4
11
Bourabaa LM
1A
8.0
22
Calodat CAM
7.8
26
Bamba CAM
6.7
29
Bretelle RM
14
Mafouta ST
6.5
25
Guèye ST
6.3
LM
Le Mans
3-1-4-2
Le Mans · Bench
B. Brahimi, A. Lauray, A. Rabillard, H. Diallo, Raúl Torrente, D. Sidibé, D. Traoré, Y. Larouci, N. Kocik
Lens · Bench
N. Äelik, F. Sotoca, T. Hazard, M. Gorgelin, J. Todibo, A. Haidara, J. Kadile, F. Ivanović, Mezian Mesloub