Ligue 1
· Round 4 · Sun 13 Sep, 15:15
Pre-match prediction
33%
25%
43%
Le Mans 33%
Draw 25%
43% Lens
✓Based on the confirmed starting lineups, not just each club's overall record.
⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.47
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
63%
Model confidence
low
Most likely scorelines
1-1 12%
2-1 9%
1-2 8%
2-2 6%
1-0 6%
Compared to the betting market (reference only, not used as a model input)
Le Mans
33% vs 20%
Draw
25% vs 22%
Lens
43% vs 58%
Lineups
Reference only — not used by the prediction model. Positions (LB/CB/RB etc.) are a best-effort guess from the source's own left-to-right player order, not a confirmed tactical slot.
L
Lens
3-4-2-1
40
Risser GK
6.5
1515
22
Skóraś CB
6.1
1503
24
Gradit CB
32
Antonio CB
6.6
1509
2
Aguilar CDM
1A
7.7
1506
5
Bulatović CDM
6.8
1516
10
Thauvin CDM
6.7
1510
14
Udol CDM
6.0
1505
19
Sima CAM
7.3
1488
27
Cuisance CAM
5.7
1503
11
Édouard ST
6.9
1518
1
Hatfout GK
6.9
1499
5
Voyer CB
6.6
1470
15
Boissé CB
6.1
1467
17
Yohou CB
7.0
1464
10
Vercruysse CDM
6.4
1470
11
Bourabaa LM
1A
8.0
1497
22
Calodat CAM
7.8
1474
26
Bamba CAM
6.7
1489
29
Bretelle RM
14
Mafouta ST
6.5
1461
25
Guèye ST
6.3
1469
LM
Le Mans
3-1-4-2
Le Mans · Bench
B. Brahimi, A. Lauray, A. Rabillard, H. Diallo, Raúl Torrente, D. Sidibé, D. Traoré, Y. Larouci, N. Kocik
Lens · Bench
N. Äelik, F. Sotoca, T. Hazard, M. Gorgelin, J. Todibo, A. Haidara, J. Kadile, F. Ivanović, Mezian Mesloub