Lens vs Le Mans · Xpected

Ligue 1 · Round 30 · Fri 30 Apr, 22:00

Lens

Le Mans

Prediction

71%

17%

Lens 71% Draw 17% 11% Le Mans

⏳Awaiting confirmed lineups — this prediction will sharpen when team news lands (~1h before kickoff).

⚠Low confidence: one or both teams have limited history in this competition, so this leans on cross-competition strength (Elo) rather than a full statistical fit.

Expected goals

2.37 – 0.95

Over 2.5 goals

64%

Both teams to score

56%

Model confidence

low

Most likely scorelines

2-0 10% 2-1 10% 1-1 9% 3-0 8% 1-0 8%

Lens · last 5 E

Monaco (A) 2-1 L Monaco (A) 2-1 L Le Mans (A) 2-2 D Slavia Praha (A) 2-3 W Lorient (H) 0-1 L

Le Mans · last 5

Lens (H) 2-2 D Nice (A) 1-1 D Rennes (A) 3-2 L Brest (H) 2-2 D

Head-to-head

13 Sep 2026 Le Mans 2–2 Lens

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